Marienlyst vs VSK Århus

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
Marienlyst
13After Extra Time
VSK Århus
LWLLGoals 17-19
LWWWGoals 24-10
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'P. Nemec
  2. 110'J. Yderholm
  3. 115'S. Pedersen
Lineups unavailable for this match.
MarienlystVSK Århus
1.7
Goals/game
2.4
1.9
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Marienlyst win
20.81%
Draw
22.61%
VSK Århus win
56.58%
65.4%BTTS
67.9%Over 2.5
11.6%Marienlyst clean sheet
25.9%VSK Århus clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor VSK Århus, who have shown strong form with victories in four of their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored. In contrast, Marienlyst has struggled recently, losing three of their last five and averaging 1.9 goals conceded per game. The discrepancy in both teams' scoring and defensive records suggests a favorable outcome for the visitors.

  • VSK Århus has won 4 out of their last 5 matches
  • Marienlyst has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • VSK Århus averages 2.4 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
  • Marienlyst averages 1.9 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors VSK Århus

  • Poor recent formMarienlyst

    Marienlyst have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formVSK Århus

    VSK Århus have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackVSK Århus

    VSK Århus are averaging 2.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.4/game
  • Tighter defenseVSK Århus

    VSK Århus are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked VSK Århus at 56.58% — final result was VSK Århus win, Marienlyst 1-3 VSK Århus.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

VSK Århus1.55market 64.4% · model 56.58%
Draw4.00market 25% · model 22.61%
Marienlyst4.68market 21.4% · model 20.81%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Marienlyst have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • VSK Århus have averaged 2.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Marienlyst4.68best 5.50
Draw4.00best 4.30
VSK Århus1.55best 1.57

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50best 1.53
Under 2.52.32best 2.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.56best 1.60
No2.25best 2.38

Double chance

Marienlyst/Draw2.18best 2.25
Marienlyst/VSK Århus1.17best 1.25
Draw/VSK Århus1.14best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Marienlyst4.68 3.04
Draw4.00 1.27
VSK Århus1.55 0.26
24 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Marienlyst win+1.5pp
AI
20.81%
Market
19.3%
Draw0pp
AI
22.61%
Market
22.6%
VSK Århus win-1.5pp
AI
56.58%
Market
58.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game2.4
1.9Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Marienlyst

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
66.7%
76-90+'
0%

VSK Århus

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Marienlyst vs VSK Århus?+

Our AI model favors VSK Århus to win, with a 56.58% probability (Draw 22.61%, Marienlyst 20.81%).

What time does Marienlyst vs VSK Århus kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).