Matagalpa vs San Marcos

Primera Division· Apertura - 5
Matagalpa
10Full-time
San Marcos
LLLWGoals 14-157th in league
LWGoals 2-28th in league
Home1W 0D 2L(1-6)
Away1W 2D 1L(4-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'C. Guardado
  2. 32'Vinicius Souza
  3. 71'L. Davila
Lineups unavailable for this match.
MatagalpaSan Marcos
1.4
Goals/game
1.0
1.5
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Matagalpa win
45%
Draw
30%
San Marcos win
25%
49.9%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
28.7%Matagalpa clean sheet
30.1%San Marcos clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive matchup between Matagalpa and San Marcos, as both teams are struggling in the league. Matagalpa has lost all their matches thus far, while San Marcos has managed only draws away from home. Both sides appear to be lacking scoring prowess, potentially leading to a low-scoring draw.

  • Matagalpa has lost all 4 of their first matches this season
  • San Marcos has not won any away games this season
  • Both teams are struggling offensively, with San Marcos averaging 0 goals in their last match
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
59/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Matagalpa

  • Sharper attackMatagalpa

    Matagalpa are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Poor recent formMatagalpa

    Matagalpa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseSan Marcos

    San Marcos are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionMatagalpa

    Matagalpa sit 1 place above San Marcos in the table.

    #7 vs #8

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    San Marcos has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Matagalpa at 45% — final result was Matagalpa win, Matagalpa 1-0 San Marcos.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Match trends

  • Matagalpa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • San Marcos have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 2 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds not available for this match yet.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Matagalpa
6204-96WLLL
8
San Marcos
6123-45LLLD

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1
1.5Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 2 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

More Primera Division predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Matagalpa vs San Marcos?+

Our AI model favors Matagalpa to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 30%, San Marcos 25%).

What time does Matagalpa vs San Marcos kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).