Matagalpa vs San Marcos
Match events
- 18'C. Guardado
- 32'Vinicius Souza
- 71'L. Davila
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Matagalpa and San Marcos, as both teams are struggling in the league. Matagalpa has lost all their matches thus far, while San Marcos has managed only draws away from home. Both sides appear to be lacking scoring prowess, potentially leading to a low-scoring draw.
- Matagalpa has lost all 4 of their first matches this season
- San Marcos has not won any away games this season
- Both teams are struggling offensively, with San Marcos averaging 0 goals in their last match
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Matagalpa
- Sharper attackMatagalpa
Matagalpa are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game - Poor recent formMatagalpa
Matagalpa have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseSan Marcos
San Marcos are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Higher league positionMatagalpa
Matagalpa sit 1 place above San Marcos in the table.
#7 vs #8
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
San Marcos has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Matagalpa at 45% — final result was Matagalpa win, Matagalpa 1-0 San Marcos.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Match trends
- Matagalpa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Marcos have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 6 | WLLL | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | LLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 2 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
More Primera Division predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Matagalpa vs San Marcos?+
Our AI model favors Matagalpa to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 30%, San Marcos 25%).
What time does Matagalpa vs San Marcos kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

