Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs

AFL Premiership· Regular Season 24
WWLLPoints 988-8797th on the ladder · 15-8-0
LDWWPoints 810-7778th on the ladder · 13-9-1
Home12W 0D 8L(1941-1727)
Away12W 0D 8L(1806-1739)
Kicks off in

Melbourne Cricket Ground

Kickoff: Aug 22, 2026, 4:15 PM (stadium time)

Today
First Bounce
In Progress
Final

AI match analysis

Melbourne Demons win
30%
Draw
10%
Western Bulldogs win
60%

Predicted score: 82-105

Data suggests that the Western Bulldogs have a slight edge going into the match, having secured victories in 3 of their last 5 encounters against the Melbourne Demons. The Demons' recent form, with 3 losses in their last 5 games and a tendency to concede points, further tilts the advantage toward the Bulldogs. Historically, the Bulldogs have averaged higher points scored in their recent matches, making them the likely candidates to prevail.

  • Western Bulldogs won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
  • Melbourne Demons have lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Western Bulldogs averaged 109.8 points scored in last 10 matches
  • Melbourne Demons average 84.2 points conceded in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Western Bulldogs

  • Tighter defenseWestern Bulldogs

    Western Bulldogs are conceding just 77.7 points per game over their recent matches.

    77.7/game conceded
  • Good recent formMelbourne Demons

    Melbourne Demons have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeWestern Bulldogs

    Western Bulldogs have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • Melbourne Demons have averaged 98.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Western Bulldogs have averaged 81 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Melbourne Demons are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Western Bulldogs.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Melbourne Demons wins
0Draws
4Western Bulldogs wins
444-480Points

Ladder

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Fremantle Dockers
231904+62076WLWW
2
Sydney Swans
231805+67472WWWW
3
Brisbane Lions
231607+44564WWLW
4
Hawthorn Hawks
231526+37964DLWW
5
Geelong Cats
231508+43060WWWW
6
Adelaide Crows
231508+32060LWWL
7
Melbourne Demons
231508+20260WWWL
8
Western Bulldogs
231319-9154DLLW
9
Collingwood Magpies
231229+4752DWLW
10
Carlton Blues
2312110+2950DWWW
11
St Kilda Saints
2310013+5640WLLW
12
Greater Western Sydney Giants
2310013-2240WLWL
13
Gold Coast Suns
239014-11736LWLL
14
North Melbourne Kangaroos
239014-24336LWLL
15
Port Adelaide Power
237016-24528LLLL
16
West Coast Eagles
234019-71816LLLL
17
Richmond Tigers
233020-89012LLWL
18
Essendon Bombers
232021-8768LLLL

More AFL Premiership predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs?+

Our AI model favors Western Bulldogs to win, with a 60% probability (Melbourne Demons 40%).

What time does Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs start?+

First bounce is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).