Metz vs Laval

1–1Full-time

DDLDWDGoals 9-176th in league

DDDWLWGoals 11-1210th in league

Home1W 1D 0L(3-2)

Away0W 1D 1L(2-4)

Match events

17'T. Dago
31'Julien Maggiotti
33'Idris Mohamed
49'Julien Maggiotti
51'Jules Gaudin
67'Sacha Mellier (Alessio Beaudouin)
68'Julien Maggiotti (C. Gourichy)
73'Nathan Mbala (N. Mendy)
73'Believe Munongo (T. Savagnier)
78'Pape Moussa Fall (T. Savagnier)
79'T. Dago (Noa Mupemba)
79'Mathis Houdayer (A. Kanté)
82'Mathis Houdayer (A. Kanté)
83'Idris Mohamed
83'Idris Mohamed
86'G. Abuashvili (Urie-Michel Mboula)
86'Cyril Mandouki (Yanis Court)
88'Pape Moussa Fall (Ibou Sane)
88'Jahyann Pandore (Hamza Kadamani)

Lineups

4-3-3

4-3-1-2

Luc HoltzCoach

David Vignes

Bench (9)

Bench (8)

AI match analysis

Metz win

53.57%

Draw

26.49%

Laval win

19.94%

49%BTTS

44.3%Over 2.5

24.7%Metz clean sheet

35%Laval clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests a slight edge for Metz in this matchup, as they have secured a win at home while Laval's away form has seen them lose their only game thus far. The head-to-head history also favors Metz, with recent performances showing they have been more successful against Laval. Given these factors, a narrow victory for Metz seems likely.

Metz has won their only home game this season.
Laval has lost their only away game this season.
Historically, Metz has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Laval.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Metz

Strong home recordMetz
Metz have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins
Weak away recordLaval
Laval have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins
Good recent formLaval
Laval have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Tighter defenseLaval
Laval are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Metz at 53.57% — final result was a draw, Metz 1-1 Laval.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Metz1.78market 56.2% · model 53.57%

Draw ✓3.49market 28.7% · model 26.49%

Laval4.42market 22.6% · model 19.94%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Metz have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Laval have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Metz wins

5Draws

0Laval wins

11-8Goals

2–3May 10, 2025, 3:00 PM

1–1Aug 31, 2024, 12:30 PM

1–0Apr 1, 2023, 5:00 PM

3–3Aug 20, 2022, 5:00 PM

0–0May 16, 2014, 6:30 PM

1–0Aug 2, 2013, 6:00 PM

0–0Mar 6, 2012, 6:00 PM

2–2Sep 9, 2011, 6:00 PM

Odds comparison

Match winner

Metz1.78▼best 1.85

Draw3.49▲best 3.64

Laval4.42▲best 4.81

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.96▼best 2.08

Under 2.51.82▲best 1.89

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▲best 1.91

No1.86▼best 1.93

Double chance

Metz/Draw1.19▼best 1.22

Metz/Laval1.27best 1.30

Draw/Laval1.97▲best 2.06

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38best 2.38

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53best 1.53

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Metz1.78▼ 0.02

Draw3.49▲ 0.15

Laval4.42▲ 0.25

19 Aug – 22 Aug

Model vs market

Metz win+1.3pp

AI

53.57%

Market

52.3%

Draw-0.2pp

AI

26.49%

Market

26.7%

Laval win-1.1pp

AI

19.94%

Market

21%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
6	Metz	3	1	2	0	+1	5	DDW
10	Laval	3	1	1	1	-1	4	DWL

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.1

1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Gael Angoula

3.2Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0.4Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Laval

0-15'

0%

16-30'

50%

31-45'

0%

46-60'

0%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

50%

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

—Expected goals (xG)—

7Shots on target3

17Total shots11

8Shots off target4

2Blocked shots4

9Shots inside the box6

8Shots outside the box5

4Corners7

3Offsides2

14Fouls16

2Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

2Goalkeeper saves6

349Total passes454

305Accurate passes388

87%Pass accuracy85%

Player ratings

1M. SamassaLaval8.5
2Pape Moussa FallMetz⚽ 18.0
3Florian MiguelMetz7.9
4J. DeminguetMetz7.6
5G. AbuashviliMetz7.6
6Cristian CastroMetz7.5

Box score

Metz

42Cristian CastroD · 90'

7.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes36%

Tackles3

Duels83%

11Pape Moussa FallF · 88'

⚽ 18.0

More stats

Shots3/5 on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels73%

3Florian MiguelD · 90'

7.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes33%

Tackles—

Duels33%

8

8J. DeminguetM · 90'

7.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles—

Duels67%

1Jonathan FischerG · 90'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes26%

Tackles—

Duels—

70Bouna Sarr (C)D · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes30%

Tackles2

Duels63%

22Nathan MbalaF · 73'

5.9

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels0%

98Idris MohamedD · 83'

🟥5.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes31%

Tackles—

Duels40%

18Believe MunongoM · 73'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes27%

Tackles2

Duels43%

9

9G. AbuashviliF · 86'

7.6

More stats

Shots1/3 on target

Passes21%

Tackles—

Duels47%

21Jahyann PandoreM · 86'

6.7

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes31%

Tackles—

Duels38%

Bench (9)

10

10T. SavagnierM · 17'

🅰️ 17.2

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes8%

Tackles—

Duels100%

6

6N. MendyM · 17'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles1

Duels100%

20Habib DialloF

—

61Pape SyG

—

19Morgan Bokele MputuF

—

7Ibou SaneF · 8'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes—

Tackles—

Duels0%

38Hamza KadamaniM · 10'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes—

Tackles—

Duels0%

4Urie-Michel MboulaD · 10'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes3%

Tackles—

Duels0%

39Bryan SongD

—

Laval

22Jules GaudinD · 90'

🟨6.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes27%

Tackles3

Duels50%

6Sam SannaM · 90'

6.7

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes43%

Tackles1

Duels40%

30

30M. SamassaG · 90'

8.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes27%

Tackles—

Duels100%

14Cyril MandoukiM · 86'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes24%

Tackles2

Duels50%

5Julien MaggiottiM · 68'

⚽ 1🟨7.0

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes29%

Tackles2

Duels40%

31Mathis HoudayerF · 79'

6.9

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes11%

Tackles3

Duels47%

18Aboubacar LôD · 90'

6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes51%

Tackles—

Duels0%

3

3W. Bianda (C)D · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes60%

Tackles—

Duels71%

33Sacha MellierM · 68'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes30%

Tackles3

Duels57%

11Trévis DagoF · 79'

🟨6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes9%

Tackles1

Duels25%

23Esteban MoutonD · 90'

7.0

More stats

Shots0/2 on target

Passes47%

Tackles6

Duels75%

Bench (8)

28

28A. KantéF · 11'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles—

Duels100%

1

1M. HautboisG

—

29Mamadou SidibéM

—

32Yanis CourtM · 10'

6.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles—

Duels100%

21Alessio BeaudouinD · 22'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels33%

19Noa MupembaF · 11'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes—

Tackles1

Duels100%

7Chafik GourichyM · 22'

6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes6%

Tackles—

Duels0%

35Joseph Layousse SambD

—

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