Middlesbrough vs West Brom
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough · Capacity 34,988 · grass · Referee: P. Tierney
Match events
- 40'Jeremy Sarmiento (Max Arfsten)
- 45'Myles Peart-Harris (Sebastian Berhalter)
- 48'will lankshear
- 61'Ousmane·Diakite
- 65'J. Morgan (Isaac Price)
- 69'Riley McGree (Kyle Joseph)
- 69'Morgan Whittaker (Alfie Jones)
- 70'Harry Whitwell (Rabby Nzingoula)
- 73'will lankshear
- 77'Felix Horn Myhre (Aune Heggebo)
- 77'Jayson Molumby (Kareem Tunde)
- 86'will lankshear (Tommy Conway)
- 86'J. Morgan (Barney Stewart)
- 87'Luke Ayling
- 87'Alfie Jones (Luke Ayling)
Lineups
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Middlesbrough holds a slight advantage based on their strong home performance prior to this match, having won their only home game this season. Additionally, historical matchups indicate a favorable trend for Middlesbrough against West Brom, winning three of the last five encounters. However, West Brom's current league positioning implies they have shown strong form, particularly in scoring, which could make this matchup competitive.
- Middlesbrough unbeaten at home this season
- West Brom currently sits in 2nd place in the league
- Recent head-to-head history favors Middlesbrough with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Middlesbrough
- Historical edgeMiddlesbrough
Middlesbrough have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionMiddlesbrough
Middlesbrough sit 1 place above West Brom in the table.
#5 vs #6 - Poor recent formMiddlesbrough
Middlesbrough have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formWest Brom
West Brom have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Middlesbrough at 54.56% — final result was Middlesbrough win, Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (92/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Middlesbrough have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- West Brom have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
West Brom
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughWest BromMiddlesbroughWest BromWest BromMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughWest BromWest BromMiddlesbroughWest BromMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughWest BromOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
P. Tierney
Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Middlesbrough
West Brom
More Championship predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Middlesbrough vs West Brom?+
Our AI model favors Middlesbrough to win, with a 54.56% probability (Draw 24.76%, West Brom 20.68%).
Where is Middlesbrough vs West Brom played?+
The match is played at Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough (capacity 34,988).
What time does Middlesbrough vs West Brom kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).