Mladost DG vs Mornar

First League· Regular Season - 3
Mladost DG
23Full-time
Mornar
WLDLGoals 11-1410th in league
DDWWGoals 14-42nd in league
Home1W 1D 1L(4-4)
Away1W 1D 0L(3-2)
DG Arena

DG Arena, Podgorica · Capacity 1,200 · artificial turf

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'A. Cepic
  2. 14'A. Jovanović
  3. 26'A. Kaludjerovic
  4. 35'A. Soussi
  5. 38'L. Pejović
  6. 45+2'A. Kaludjerovic
  7. 61'N. Pavlicevic (L. Knezevic)
  8. 61'K. Radunovic (N. Cordoba)
  9. 68'M. Yao
  10. 75'O. Đinović (J. Roganovic)
  11. 75'M. Lalevic (S. Radinović)
  12. 80'M. Yao (S. Denković)
  13. 82'A. Jovanović (V. Mijovic)
  14. 90'D. Škrijelj (V. Dragović)

Lineups

Mladost DGMornar
1.1
Goals/game
1.4
1.4
Conceded/game
0.4

AI match analysis

Mladost DG win
27%
Draw
32%
Mornar win
41%
39.8%BTTS
36.4%Over 2.5
24.7%Mladost DG clean sheet
47.2%Mornar clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Mornar has a strong historical advantage over Mladost DG, having won 4 out of their last 5 encounters. Mladost DG's recent form includes only one win in five matches, while Mornar remains unbeaten in their last four games, which may favor the away team. With Mladost conceding as many as they score on average, they could struggle against a Mornar side that has shown solid defensive performance.

  • Mladost DG has lost 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches against Mornar.
  • Mornar is unbeaten in their last 4 matches, including 3 wins.
  • Mladost DG's last 10 matches show a scoring average of 1.2 but they also concede 1.1 goals per game.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
74/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Mornar

  • Weak home recordMladost DG

    Mladost DG have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Strong away recordMornar

    Mornar have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.

    1/2 away wins
  • Historical edgeMornar

    Mornar have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    7/8 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseMornar

    Mornar are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Mornar at 41% — final result was Mornar win, Mladost DG 2-3 Mornar.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Mornar2.16market 46.2% · model 41%
Draw2.93market 34.1% · model 32%
Mladost DG3.32market 30.1% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Mladost DG have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Mornar have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Mladost DG wins
1Draws
7Mornar wins
7-20Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Mladost DG3.32best 3.45
Draw2.93best 3.00
Mornar2.16best 2.24

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.38best 2.46
Under 2.51.50best 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes2.04best 2.10
No1.66best 1.68

Double chance

Mladost DG/Draw1.58best 1.65
Mladost DG/Mornar1.32best 1.36
Draw/Mornar1.27best 1.30

Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Mladost DG3.32 0.12
Draw2.93 0.07
Mornar2.16 0.06
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Mladost DG win-0.3pp
AI
27%
Market
27.3%
Draw+1.1pp
AI
32%
Market
30.9%
Mornar win-0.8pp
AI
41%
Market
41.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Mladost DG
5113-54DLLW
2
Mornar
4220+28WWDD

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.4
1.4Goals conceded per game0.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Mornar

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More First League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Mladost DG vs Mornar?+

Our AI model favors Mornar to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 32%, Mladost DG 27%).

Where is Mladost DG vs Mornar played?+

The match is played at DG Arena, Podgorica (capacity 1,200).

What time does Mladost DG vs Mornar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).