Mladost DG vs Mornar

DG Arena, Podgorica · Capacity 1,200 · artificial turf
Match events
- 6'A. Cepic
- 14'A. Jovanović
- 26'A. Kaludjerovic
- 35'A. Soussi
- 38'L. Pejović
- 45+2'A. Kaludjerovic
- 61'N. Pavlicevic (L. Knezevic)
- 61'K. Radunovic (N. Cordoba)
- 68'M. Yao
- 75'O. Đinović (J. Roganovic)
- 75'M. Lalevic (S. Radinović)
- 80'M. Yao (S. Denković)
- 82'A. Jovanović (V. Mijovic)
- 90'D. Škrijelj (V. Dragović)
Lineups
Coach: Marko Scepanovic
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Mornar has a strong historical advantage over Mladost DG, having won 4 out of their last 5 encounters. Mladost DG's recent form includes only one win in five matches, while Mornar remains unbeaten in their last four games, which may favor the away team. With Mladost conceding as many as they score on average, they could struggle against a Mornar side that has shown solid defensive performance.
- Mladost DG has lost 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches against Mornar.
- Mornar is unbeaten in their last 4 matches, including 3 wins.
- Mladost DG's last 10 matches show a scoring average of 1.2 but they also concede 1.1 goals per game.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Mornar
- Weak home recordMladost DG
Mladost DG have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins - Strong away recordMornar
Mornar have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Historical edgeMornar
Mornar have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseMornar
Mornar are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Mornar at 41% — final result was Mornar win, Mladost DG 2-3 Mornar.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Mladost DG have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mornar have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | DLLW | |
| 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 | WWDD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Mornar
More First League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Mladost DG vs Mornar?+
Our AI model favors Mornar to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 32%, Mladost DG 27%).
Where is Mladost DG vs Mornar played?+
The match is played at DG Arena, Podgorica (capacity 1,200).
What time does Mladost DG vs Mornar kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

