Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC
Value found
+10.7% edgePortuguesa FC win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive match between Monagas SC and Portuguesa FC. Monagas SC is unbeaten in their last three home games, while Portuguesa FC struggles with away form, having lost two of their last three. Historically, Monagas has shown strength against Portuguesa in their recent meetings.
- Monagas SC unbeaten in last 3 home matches
- Portuguesa FC's away form shows 2 losses in last 3 games
- Historically, Monagas SC has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Portuguesa FC.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Monagas SC
- Historical edgeMonagas SC
Monagas SC have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionPortuguesa FC
Portuguesa FC sit 8 places above Monagas SC in the table.
#2 vs #10 - Good recent formMonagas SC
Monagas SC have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formPortuguesa FC
Portuguesa FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Monagas SC at 40% — final result was a draw, Monagas SC 0-0 Portuguesa FC.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Monagas SC have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Portuguesa FC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SCMonagas SCPortuguesa FCMonagas SCPortuguesa FCPortuguesa FCMonagas SCPortuguesa FCMonagas SCMonagas SCPortuguesa FCPortuguesa FCMonagas SCMonagas SCPortuguesa FCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Monagas SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | LWLL |
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 | LWLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
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Carabobo FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?+
Our AI model favors Monagas SC to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 25%, Portuguesa FC 35%).
What time does Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).