Monterrey vs Chicago Fire
Match events
- 30'Carlos Salcedo
- 38'C. Brady
- 39'L. Ocampos (L. Ocampos)
- 42'L. Ocampos (L. Ocampos)
- 45+4'P. Zinckernagel
- 45+5'Victor Guzmán (Gerardo Arteaga)
- 57'D. D'Avilla (Mauricio Pineda)
- 57'S. Oregel (Robin Lod)
- 59'P. Zinckernagel (Andrew Gutman)
- 63'Anton Saletros
- 72'P. Dithejane (M. Haile-Selassie)
- 80'Andrew Gutman
- 83'Orbelín Pineda
- 84'Jonathan Dean (J. Bamba)
- 86'Jesús Corona (J. Rodriguez)
- 87'D. Rossi
- 90+1'D. Rossi (Luis Reyes)
- 90+1'Óliver Torres (Fidel Ambríz)
- 90+4'J. Rodriguez
- 90+5'H. Cuypers (L. Orellano)
- 90+5'Orbelín Pineda (Roberto de la Rosa)
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a competitive match between Monterrey and Chicago Fire, with Chicago exhibiting stronger recent form, being unbeaten in their last five matches. Monterrey's inconsistency, highlighted by three losses in their last five games, may hinder their chances despite home advantage. The scoring averages indicate a tendency for both teams to concede, further supporting a likely close encounter.
- Chicago Fire unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Monterrey has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Monterrey averages 1.6 goals scored per game
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago Fire
- Good recent formMonterrey
Monterrey have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Strong recent formChicago Fire
Chicago Fire are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Sharper attackChicago Fire
Chicago Fire are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago Fire at 40% — final result was Monterrey win, Monterrey 2-1 Chicago Fire.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (50/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Monterrey have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Fire have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Monterrey
Chicago Fire
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Monterrey vs Chicago Fire?+
Our AI model favors Chicago Fire to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 25%, Monterrey 35%).
What time does Monterrey vs Chicago Fire kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).