Monza vs Udinese
Match events
- 32'Jakub Piotrowski (H. Kamara)
- 37'Andrea Colpani (Ricardo Mangas)
- 45+3'Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
- 45'H. Kamara
- 46'Lorenzo Lucchesi
- 54'Foe Ondoa (Michael Folorunsho)
- 54'Substitution 2 (Ebenezer Akinsanmiro)
- 60'Jakub Piotrowski (Lennon Miller)
- 61'Unai Gómez (Oier Zarraga)
- 61'Lorenzo Lucchesi (Filippo Delli Carri)
- 63'Gustavo Varela (Ebenezer Akinsanmiro)
- 68'K. Davis (Idrissa Gueye)
- 68'Enzo Ebosse (Nicolo Bertola)
- 84'Samuele Birindelli (Omari Forson)
- 84'Andrea Colpani (Dany Mota)
- 85'Mergim Vojvoda (Juan Arizala)
Lineups
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Monza struggles early in the season, as evidenced by their recent form with a significant loss to Inter. Meanwhile, Udinese has shown resilience, managing to draw their first match and exhibiting a solid defensive record in recent outings. Historically, encounters between these teams tend to be tightly contested, but Udinese's current form and position may give them the edge.
- Monza in relegation zone after loss in first match
- Udinese secured a draw in their opening game
- Head-to-head history shows competitive matches with frequent draws
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Udinese
- Higher league positionUdinese
Udinese sit 15 places above Monza in the table.
#3 vs #18 - Sharper attackMonza
Monza are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseUdinese
Udinese are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Good recent formMonza
Monza have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Udinese at 38% — final result was Udinese win, Monza 2-3 Udinese.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Monza have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Udinese have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Monza
Udinese
More Serie A predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Monza vs Udinese?+
Our AI model favors Udinese to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 31%, Monza 31%).
What time does Monza vs Udinese kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).