Moreirense vs SC Braga — Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 1

Moreirense

2–2Full-time

SC Braga

WDLDWLGoals 12-1716th in league

WDWLDWGoals 15-913th in league

Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)

Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)

Match events

7'F. Navarro (Vitor Carvalho)
9'N. John
18'Travassos
20'Guilherme Liberato
42'Bright Arrey-Mbi (Adrian Bajrami)
45+2'Kevyn Monteiro
46'Travassos (Victor Gómez)
57'M. Dorgeles (Denis Huseinbašić)
57'Ricardo Horta (Pau Víctor)
59'A. Vieira (Kiko Bondoso)
61'N. John
66'Pau Víctor
67'Rodrigo Alonso (J. Veloso)
75'Guilherme Liberato (Yan Maranhao)
75'N. John (Mateja Stjepanović)
78'G. Batista
90+1'A. Duville-Parsemain
90+1'J. Veloso
90+4'Demir Ege Tıknaz (João Moutinho)

Lineups

Moreirense

SC Braga

4-3-33-4-3

Vasco CostaCoach

Carlos Vicens

AI match analysis

Moreirense win

15.68%

Draw

23.71%

SC Braga win

60.61%

51.9%BTTS

49.4%Over 2.5

20.2%Moreirense clean sheet

35%SC Braga clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests SC Braga enters this match with significantly stronger form, winning 4 of their last 5 games, while Moreirense has no prior competitive form this season. Historically, Braga's scoring average of 1.5 goals per game may lead to challenges for Moreirense's defense. The numbers favor an away victory given Braga's recent performances and their established scoring capability.

SC Braga has won 4 of their last 5 matches
Braga averages 1.5 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
Moreirense starts the season with no prior form

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked SC Braga at 60.61% — final result was a draw, Moreirense 2-2 SC Braga.

Predicted score was 1-2.

Closing odds vs. our model

SC Braga1.58market 63.3% · model 60.61%

Draw ✓3.88market 25.8% · model 23.71%

Moreirense5.74market 17.4% · model 15.68%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Moreirense have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
SC Braga have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Moreirense wins

0Draws

8SC Braga wins

7-20Goals

Moreirense

1–2Feb 3, 2025, 6:45 PM

SC Braga

3–1Aug 25, 2024, 7:30 PM

Moreirense

SC Braga

1–0Feb 4, 2024, 8:30 PM

Moreirense

2–3Sep 9, 2023, 5:00 PM

SC Braga

2–0Jan 30, 2022, 6:00 PM

Moreirense

2–3Aug 20, 2021, 8:15 PM

SC Braga

2–1May 14, 2021, 8:15 PM

Moreirense

0–4Feb 1, 2021, 7:45 PM

SC Braga

Odds comparison

Match winner

Moreirense5.74best 6.50

Draw3.88best 4.04

SC Braga1.58best 1.62

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.95best 2.03

Under 2.51.84best 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.93best 2.00

No1.79best 1.85

Double chance

Moreirense/Draw2.32best 2.40

Moreirense/SC Braga1.23best 1.27

Draw/SC Braga1.13best 1.15

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.71best 1.73

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.25best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.13best 1.14

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.02best 2.05

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Moreirense5.74▲ 0.15

Draw3.88▲ 0.06

SC Braga1.58

9 Aug – 9 Aug

Model vs market

Moreirense win-0.7pp

AI

15.68%

Market

16.4%

Draw-0.5pp

AI

23.71%

Market

24.2%

SC Braga win+1.2pp

AI

60.61%

Market

59.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.