Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica

First League· Regular Season - 4
DDWWGoals 15-52nd in league
WDLDGoals 3-99th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(2-1)
Away1W 1D 1L(2-2)

Value found

+10.5% edge

Buducnost Podgorica win

4.2AI fair odds
4.64Bookmaker odds
+10.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'A. Soussi
  2. 33'S. Osman
  3. 45+1'V. Ljutica
  4. 64'I. Bojović
Lineups unavailable for this match.
MornarBuducnost Podgorica
1.5
Goals/game
0.3
0.5
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Mornar win
46.53%
Draw
29.66%
Buducnost Podgorica win
23.81%
23%BTTS
21.7%Over 2.5
67%Mornar clean sheet
30.1%Buducnost Podgorica clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Mornar holds a slight edge in form, remaining unbeaten in their recent matches, while Buducnost Podgorica has struggled to find the net consistently. The head-to-head history indicates a tendency for low-scoring games, which could favor Mornar at home given their recent performance. The numbers favor a narrow victory for the home side, making a low-scoring encounter likely.

  • Mornar unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws
  • Buducnost Podgorica has scored only 1 goal in last 5 matches
  • Last 5 head-to-head encounters show a strong defensive trend with multiple scoreless draws
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Mornar

  • Strong home recordMornar

    Mornar have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.

    1/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordBuducnost Podgorica

    Buducnost Podgorica have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Sharper attackMornar

    Mornar are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Strong recent formMornar

    Mornar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 3D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Mornar at 46.53% — final result was Mornar win, Mornar 2-1 Buducnost Podgorica.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Mornar1.71market 58.6% · model 46.53%
Draw3.34market 30% · model 29.66%
Buducnost Podgorica4.64market 21.5% · model 23.81%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Mornar have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Buducnost Podgorica have averaged 0.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Mornar wins
2Draws
4Buducnost Podgorica wins
6-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Mornar1.71best 1.95
Draw3.34best 3.50
Buducnost Podgorica4.64best 5.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.15best 2.20
Under 2.51.60best 1.65

Both teams to score

Yes2.03best 2.10
No1.67best 1.73

Double chance

Mornar/Draw1.15best 1.20
Mornar/Buducnost Podgorica1.25best 1.30
Draw/Buducnost Podgorica1.95best 2.10

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Mornar1.71 0.20
Draw3.34 0.23
Buducnost Podgorica4.64 0.82
20 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Mornar win-6.7pp
AI
46.53%
Market
53.2%
Draw+2.5pp
AI
29.66%
Market
27.2%
Buducnost Podgorica win+4.2pp
AI
23.81%
Market
19.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Mornar
4220+28WWDD
9
Buducnost Podgorica
4112-24LDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game0.3
0.5Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Mornar

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

More First League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica?+

Our AI model favors Mornar to win, with a 46.53% probability (Draw 29.66%, Buducnost Podgorica 23.81%).

What time does Mornar vs Buducnost Podgorica kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).