Motherwell vs SC Freiburg
Match events
- 2'Regan Charles-Cook (E. Longelo)
- 21'J. Hodge
- 28'Matthias Ginter (D. Scherhant)
- 39'Lukas Fadinger
- 46'Regan Charles-Cook (S. Palmer-Houlden)
- 59'Jan-Niklas Beste
- 62'Martin Moormann
- 65'Matthias Ginter
- 65'Martin Moormann
- 68'A. Lowry
- 71'T. Maswanhise (W. Vogt)
- 71'A. Lowry (Ewan Wilson)
- 74'Y. Suzuki (Vincenzo Grifo)
- 74'Jan-Niklas Beste (C. Irie)
- 78'J. Girdwood-Reich (S. O'Donnell)
- 78'J. Hodge (O. Whyte)
- 80'M. Rosenfelder (Philipp Lienhart)
- 80'Igor Matanović (Keisuke Goto)
- 90+6'Keisuke Goto (Vincenzo Grifo)
- 90'D. Scherhant (Berkay Yılmaz)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 2.9
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that SC Freiburg enters this match with a stronger offensive record, averaging 2 goals per game over their last 10 matches compared to Motherwell's 1.2. Additionally, Freiburg has shown resilience in their recent form with three out of five victories, while Motherwell has struggled with inconsistent performances, including recent defeats. The numbers favor Freiburg significantly based on their scoring ability and form.
- Motherwell averaging 1.2 goals scored in last 10 matches
- SC Freiburg averaging 2 goals scored in last 10 matches
- Freiburg's recent form includes 3 wins out of last 5 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors SC Freiburg
- Sharper attackSC Freiburg
SC Freiburg are averaging 2.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.9/game - Good recent formSC Freiburg
SC Freiburg have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseSC Freiburg
SC Freiburg are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked SC Freiburg at 60% — final result was SC Freiburg win, Motherwell 1-3 SC Freiburg.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Motherwell have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- SC Freiburg have averaged 2.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Motherwell
SC Freiburg
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Motherwell vs SC Freiburg?+
Our AI model favors SC Freiburg to win, with a 60% probability (Draw 22%, Motherwell 18%).
What time does Motherwell vs SC Freiburg kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).