Mura vs Koper

1. SNL· Regular Season - 6
Mura
01Full-time
Koper
WLLWGoals 11-157th in league
WWLDGoals 18-78th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(2-3)
Away1W 1D 1L(3-3)
Mestni stadion Fazanerija

Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota · Capacity 5,400 · grass · Referee: R. Obrenovic

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'Goal Disallowed - Foul — K. Kurtovic
  2. 27'F. Sana
  3. 32'L. Gucek
  4. 42'S. Butic
  5. 43'F. Tomek
  6. 46'L. Štulac (I. Petrisot)
  7. 46'S. Butic (L. Bobicanec)
  8. 46'F. Sana (F. Jevsenak)
  9. 55'D. Bangaly (I. Matondo)
  10. 55'B. Adrovic (A. Ruedl)
  11. 59'A. Zalaznik
  12. 81'L. Rimac (R. Berič)
  13. 84'N. Kouter (A. Kozar)
  14. 84'N. Kasalo (M. Ascic)
  15. 88'A. Zalaznik (K. Trdin)
  16. 90+4'R. Berič
Lineups unavailable for this match.
MuraKoper
1.1
Goals/game
1.8
1.5
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

Mura win
30%
Draw
26%
Koper win
44%
47.9%BTTS
46.9%Over 2.5
19.2%Mura clean sheet
40.7%Koper clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests Koper has a favorable edge given their recent head-to-head success against Mura, winning the last two encounters. Mura's form has been shaky, with three losses in their last five matches, and they struggle defensively with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per game. In contrast, Koper's solid away performance and better scoring average may contribute to a predicted victory for the away side.

  • Koper unbeaten in last 2 matches against Mura
  • Mura has lost 3 out of their last 5 matches
  • Koper's away record includes 1 win and 1 draw this season
  • Mura has a negative goal difference of -3 in the league
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Koper

  • Historical edgeKoper

    Koper have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackKoper

    Koper are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseKoper

    Koper are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Good recent formMura

    Mura have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Koper at 44% — final result was Koper win, Mura 0-1 Koper.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Koper2.05market 48.8% · model 44%
Mura3.13market 32% · model 30%
Draw3.44market 29.1% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Mura have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Koper have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Mura wins
1Draws
6Koper wins
6-15Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Mura3.13best 3.30
Draw3.44best 3.70
Koper2.05best 2.16

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.70best 1.80
Under 2.52.05best 2.12

Both teams to score

Yes1.58best 1.73
No2.20best 2.30

Double chance

Mura/Draw1.68best 1.75
Mura/Koper1.25best 1.29
Draw/Koper1.29best 1.37

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Mura3.13 0.22
Draw3.44 0.06
Koper2.05 0.07
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Mura win+0.9pp
AI
30%
Market
29.1%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
26%
Market
26.5%
Koper win-0.4pp
AI
44%
Market
44.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Mura
5212-37WLLW
8
Koper
513106DLDD

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Obrenovic

6Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Mura

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

More 1. SNL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Mura vs Koper?+

Our AI model favors Koper to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 26%, Mura 30%).

Where is Mura vs Koper played?+

The match is played at Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota (capacity 5,400).

What time does Mura vs Koper kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).