Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC

Liga Pro· Regular Season - 25
DWDWGoals 13-58th in league
WLLWGoals 14-106th in league
Home6W 5D 3L(15-13)
Away2W 6D 5L(9-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'E. Caicedo
  2. 56'E. Caicedo (Nazareno Bazán)
  3. 63'Tomás Martínez (S. Díaz)
  4. 63'J. Quiñónez (Mejia Marcos)
  5. 63'J. Quiñónez (J. Garcia)
  6. 63'J. Wila (Mejia Marcos)
  7. 63'J. Wila (J. Garcia)
  8. 63'Jeremy Cusme (Franklin Carabali)
  9. 63'M. Perea (R. Tufino)
  10. 66'Ronny Biojo
  11. 70'R. Tufino
  12. 84'T. Rodríguez (E. Mendoza)
  13. 84'R. Ibarra (B. Corozo)
  14. 84'Arnaldo Zambrano (F. Mina)
  15. 90+1'Jonathan Perlaza (Héctor Villalba)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Mushuc Runa SCBarcelona SC
1.3
Goals/game
1.4
0.5
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Mushuc Runa SC win
47.77%
Draw
28.64%
Barcelona SC win
23.59%
41.9%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
38.7%Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet
31.7%Barcelona SC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match, as Mushuc Runa SC has shown a strong home performance with a recent unbeaten streak in their last three matches. However, Barcelona SC struggles on the road, having secured just two away victories this season. Historically, their meetings have often been close, with both teams sharing the scorelines in multiple draws.

  • Mushuc Runa SC averaged 1.5 goals scored per match in their last 10 games.
  • Barcelona SC has only 2 away wins this season from 12 matches played.
  • Historically, the last 5 encounters have been closely contested with two matches ending in draws.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Mushuc Runa SC

  • Strong recent formMushuc Runa SC

    Mushuc Runa SC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Strong home recordMushuc Runa SC

    Mushuc Runa SC have won 6 of their last 14 home matches.

    6/14 home wins
  • Weak away recordBarcelona SC

    Barcelona SC have won 2 of their last 13 away matches.

    2/13 away wins
  • Historical edgeBarcelona SC

    Barcelona SC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Mushuc Runa SC at 47.77% — final result was a draw, Mushuc Runa SC 0-0 Barcelona SC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Mushuc Runa SC1.97market 50.7% · model 47.77%
Draw3.20market 31.3% · model 28.64%
Barcelona SC3.57market 28% · model 23.59%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Mushuc Runa SC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Barcelona SC have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Mushuc Runa SC wins
3Draws
4Barcelona SC wins
7-16Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Mushuc Runa SC1.97best 2.20
Draw3.20best 3.50
Barcelona SC3.57best 4.03

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.04best 2.10
Under 2.51.69best 1.75

Both teams to score

Yes1.82best 1.91
No1.83best 1.87

Double chance

Mushuc Runa SC/Draw1.25best 1.33
Mushuc Runa SC/Barcelona SC1.28best 1.33
Draw/Barcelona SC1.71best 1.83

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Mushuc Runa SC1.97 0.18
Draw3.20 0.05
Barcelona SC3.57 0.37
13 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Mushuc Runa SC win+1.7pp
AI
47.77%
Market
46.1%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
28.64%
Market
28.5%
Barcelona SC win-1.9pp
AI
23.59%
Market
25.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Mushuc Runa SC
27999-136DDWW
6
Barcelona SC
261097+839DLDL

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.4
0.5Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Mushuc Runa SC

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
16.7%

Barcelona SC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Liga Pro predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC?+

Our AI model favors Mushuc Runa SC to win, with a 47.77% probability (Draw 28.64%, Barcelona SC 23.59%).

What time does Mushuc Runa SC vs Barcelona SC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).