Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells

UFC· UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry· Welterweight
WWLL
16-2-1 (W-L-D)7 KO, 6 SUB
Ht 178cmWt 77kgReach 188cmStance Orthodox
Alpha Male
WLLW

Value found

+54.4% edge

Jeremiah Wells win

5AI fair odds
7.72Bookmaker odds
+54.4%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Myktybek Orolbai win
80%
Jeremiah Wells win
20%

The data suggests that Myktybek Orolbai has a significant advantage based on his solid career record and finishing ability, having secured a majority of his victories by knockout or submission. While Jeremiah Wells has achieved some wins but is coming off two consecutive losses, this mismatch in recent performance and record may favor Orolbai significantly.

  • Orolbai has a career record of 16-2-1, which indicates strong overall performance.
  • He has finished 7 of his wins by knockout and 6 by submission, showing versatility in finishing ability.
  • Orolbai trains at Alpha Male, a gym known for producing well-rounded fighters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
94/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two fighters is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and both fighters' career records and recent fight history are available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited professional record

    Jeremiah Wells has a thin professional fight record on file, so career-stat signals here are based on a small sample.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Myktybek Orolbai1.08best 1.09AI 80%
Jeremiah Wells7.72best 9.43AI 20%

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Myktybek Orolbai1.08 0.04
Jeremiah Wells7.72 1.48
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Myktybek Orolbai win-7.8pp
AI
80%
Market
87.8%
Jeremiah Wells win+7.8pp
AI
20%
Market
12.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

More UFC predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells?+

Our AI model favors Myktybek Orolbai to win, with a 80% probability (Jeremiah Wells 20%).

What time does Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells start?+

This fight took place on Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Myktybek Orolbai and Jeremiah Wells?+

Myktybek Orolbai is 16-2-1 (W-L-D). Jeremiah Wells is 0-0-0 (W-L-D).