Nacional Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero — Primera División

Primera División· Apertura - 16

Nacional Potosí

3–0Full-time

Independiente Petrolero

WDWLWLGoals 17-1310th in league

WWWWWWGoals 26-149th in league

Home5W 1D 2L(16-9)

Away3W 2D 3L(13-14)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

15'T. Tobar
32'C. Urdininea
50'S. Pena (P. Azogue)
63'R. Cardozo (Jeferson Carioca)
63'C. Urdininea (J. Bejarano)
74'G. Cristaldo (Gean)
75'N. Amarilla (S. Alvarez)
75'P. Azogue (L. Pavia)
76'T. Tobar (W. Alvarez)
82'S. Pena (W. Alvarez)
87'D. Hoyos
87'M. Tomianovic (D. Villalba)
87'M. Nunez (O. Baldomar)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Nacional PotosíIndependiente Petrolero

1.7
Goals/game: 2.6; 1.3
Conceded/game: 1.4

AI match analysis

Nacional Potosí win

35%

Draw

25%

Independiente Petrolero win

40%

67.6%BTTS

67.9%Over 2.5

14.2%Nacional Potosí clean sheet

21.2%Independiente Petrolero clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a competitive match, with Independiente Petrolero displaying a stronger recent scoring form, averaging 2.6 goals per game. While Nacional Potosí has been solid at home with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, their overall goal averages indicate they may struggle against Independiente's attacking prowess. Head-to-head results slightly favor Nacional, but the current forms lean towards an away victory.

Independiente Petrolero averaging 2.6 goals scored per game in last 10 matches.
Nacional Potosí's recent form shows 4 wins in last 5 matches at home.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Potosí with 2 wins out of last 5 meetings.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

57/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Independiente Petrolero

Historical edgeNacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Good recent formNacional Potosí
Nacional Potosí have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Strong recent formIndependiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.
5W 0D 0L
Sharper attackIndependiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.6/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Independiente Petrolero at 40% — final result was Nacional Potosí win, Nacional Potosí 3-0 Independiente Petrolero.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

Nacional Potosí have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Independiente Petrolero have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.