Nancy vs Montpellier — Ligue 2

Ligue 2· Regular Season - 2

Nancy

0–1Full-time

Montpellier

DDWDWWGoals 14-124th in league

DDDDWDGoals 10-72nd in league

Home1W 0D 1L(2-1)

Away2W 0D 0L(2-0)

Match events

35'N. Fernandez
43'Daylam Meddah
57'Theo Sainte Luce
63'Daylam Meddah (G. Ayem)
63'N. Mukiele (Y. Issoufou)
68'M. Fofana (C. El Hansar)
68'G. Ayem
72'Y. Issoufou (L. Megnan-Pave)
77'B. Bokangu (N. Obougou)
77'H. Tavares (T. Balde)
80'N. Vidal-Cartoux (D. Benlahlou)
84'K. Kebe (N. Kandil)
90+2'Yael Mouanga
90+2'L. Megnan-Pave
90+3'Enzo Tacafred
90+3'L. Megnan-Pave (H. Abderrebi)
90+4'Theo Sainte Luce (N. El Hannach)

Lineups

Nancy

Montpellier

5-4-14-3-3

Oswald TanchotCoach

Zoumana Camara

Bench (9)

Bench (7)

AI match analysis

Nancy win

34%

Draw

28%

Montpellier win

38%

43.4%BTTS

36.4%Over 2.5

33.3%Nancy clean sheet

35%Montpellier clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Historical performance suggests Montpellier holds an advantage with 3 recent victories against Nancy. While both teams are drawing their last matches, Montpellier's stronger defensive record and scoring average may favor them in this encounter.

Montpellier has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Nancy
Nancy's last 10 matches average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 goals conceded
Montpellier averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 goals conceded over their last 10 matches

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Montpellier

Historical edgeMontpellier
Montpellier have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins
Tighter defenseMontpellier
Montpellier are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded
Sharper attackMontpellier
Montpellier are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game
Higher league positionMontpellier
Montpellier sit 2 places above Nancy in the table.
#2 vs #4

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Montpellier at 38% — final result was Montpellier win, Nancy 0-1 Montpellier.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Montpellier ✓2.53market 39.5% · model 38%

Nancy2.70market 37.1% · model 34%

Draw3.28market 30.5% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Nancy have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Montpellier have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Nancy wins

1Draws

6Montpellier wins

2-15Goals

Nancy

0–3Mar 6, 2026, 7:00 PM

Montpellier

4–1Oct 25, 2025, 12:00 PM

Nancy

0–3Feb 11, 2017, 7:00 PM

Montpellier

0–0Nov 26, 2016, 7:00 PM

Nancy

Montpellier

1–0Feb 16, 2013, 7:00 PM

Nancy

0–2Sep 29, 2012, 6:00 PM

Montpellier

Nancy

1–0Mar 17, 2012, 6:00 PM

Montpellier

2–0Oct 29, 2011, 5:00 PM

Nancy

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nancy2.70▲best 2.80

Draw3.28▼best 3.43

Montpellier2.53▼best 2.61

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.97▲best 2.06

Under 2.51.81▼best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.73▲best 1.80

No1.99▼best 2.05

Double chance

Nancy/Draw1.49▲best 1.53

Nancy/Montpellier1.30▲best 1.33

Draw/Montpellier1.43▼best 1.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33▲best 1.33

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25▼best 3.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30▲best 1.30

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40▼best 3.40

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nancy2.69▲ 0.07

Draw3.28▼ 0.12

Montpellier2.53▲ 0.03

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Nancy win-0.6pp

AI

34%

Market

34.6%

Draw-0.5pp

AI

28%

Market

28.5%

Montpellier win+1.1pp

AI

38%

Market

36.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.