Nantes vs Rodez
Match events
- 4'K. Corredor (Mathieu Cafaro)
- 7'C. Issanchou
- 15'I. Balde (R. Ponti)
- 24'K. Corredor (W. Younoussa)
- 45+3'K. Corredor (Dehmaine Assoumani)
- 47'R. Ponti
- 55'Mathieu Cafaro
- 63'R. Ponti (E. Jean-Lambert)
- 63'D. Pavlovic (O. Joly)
- 68'J. Mendes
- 69'Ibrahima Sissoko (B. Deuff)
- 69'Johann Lepenant (L. Leroux)
- 70'Mathieu Cafaro (M. Dabo)
- 71'I. Balde (R. Lipinski)
- 73'I. Balde
- 74'C. Issanchou (S. Luyambula)
- 74'I. Balde (K. Nagera)
- 76'W. Younoussa
- 86'M. Touho (N. Nsingi)
- 87'H. Guirassy (J. Kone)
- 90+5'Saïdou Sow
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Analysis indicates that Nantes struggles in their current season, having lost both matches and showing a concerning average of 0.6 goals scored per game. In contrast, Rodez comes off a victory in their recent match and has performed better overall, scoring 1.6 goals per game recently. With home advantage potentially not translating into results for Nantes, the numbers suggest a slight edge for them to secure a narrow victory.
- Nantes has lost both of their opening matches this season.
- Rodez is currently in better form, with one win and one loss in their last two matches.
- Nantes averages 0.6 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in their last 10 matches.
- Rodez averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nantes
- Higher league positionRodez
Rodez sit 15 places above Nantes in the table.
#3 vs #18 - Poor recent formNantes
Nantes have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formRodez
Rodez have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackRodez
Rodez are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nantes at 52% — final result was Rodez win, Nantes 2-5 Rodez.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nantes have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rodez have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Nantes
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DunkerqueFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nantes vs Rodez?+
Our AI model favors Nantes to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 25%, Rodez 23%).
What time does Nantes vs Rodez kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).