Navbahor vs Nasaf

Super League· Regular Season - 18
Navbahor
10Full-time
Nasaf
DDWWGoals 10-123rd in league
WDLLGoals 5-109th in league
Home5W 2D 2L(18-11)
Away3W 4D 3L(13-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'B. Teidi
  2. 27'O. Rustamov
  3. 45+2'G. Gaybullaev
  4. 46'B. Teidi (M. Usmonov)
  5. 46'S. Bakhromov (P. Ghudushauri)
  6. 46'B. Abdukhalikov (Y. Otubanjo)
  7. 53'S. Mirsaidov
  8. 57'G. Gaybullaev (A. Komilov)
  9. 57'V. Ilic (I. Mamatkazin)
  10. 62'A. Komilov
  11. 66'U. Eshmuradov
Lineups unavailable for this match.
NavbahorNasaf
1.0
Goals/game
0.5
1.2
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Navbahor win
54%
Draw
26%
Nasaf win
20%
36.2%BTTS
28.3%Over 2.5
42.7%Navbahor clean sheet
36.8%Nasaf clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests Navbahor is in stronger form at home, having gone unbeaten in their last five fixtures there. While Nasaf has a solid away record, they have only managed to score an average of 0.6 goals in their last ten matches. The head-to-head history shows a slight edge for Nasaf, but their recent encounters have ended in a stalemate. Thus, the analysis favors a narrow win for Navbahor.

  • Navbahor unbeaten in last 5 home games (4W, 1D)
  • Nasaf has struggled in away matches with only 3 wins in 8 games
  • Head-to-head history favors Nasaf but most recent match was a draw
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
90/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Navbahor

  • Historical edgeNasaf

    Nasaf have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    4/8 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseNasaf

    Nasaf are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionNavbahor

    Navbahor sit 6 places above Nasaf in the table.

    #3 vs #9
  • Strong home recordNavbahor

    Navbahor have won 5 of their last 9 home matches.

    5/9 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Navbahor at 54% — final result was Navbahor win, Navbahor 1-0 Nasaf.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (90/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Navbahor1.70market 58.8% · model 54%
Draw3.43market 29.1% · model 26%
Nasaf4.50market 22.2% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Navbahor have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nasaf have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Navbahor wins
3Draws
4Nasaf wins
3-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Navbahor1.70best 1.75
Draw3.43best 3.60
Nasaf4.50best 4.88

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.97best 2.05
Under 2.51.76best 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes1.86best 1.91
No1.81best 1.83

Double chance

Navbahor/Draw1.15best 1.18
Navbahor/Nasaf1.24best 1.30
Draw/Nasaf2.00best 2.10

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Navbahor1.70 0.14
Draw3.43 0.25
Nasaf4.50 0.42
20 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

Navbahor win+0.6pp
AI
54%
Market
53.4%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
26%
Market
26.4%
Nasaf win-0.2pp
AI
20%
Market
20.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Navbahor
191144+1437WWWW
9
Nasaf
19676+225LLDW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game0.5
1.2Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

I. Tantashev

3.8Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.2Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Navbahor

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

Nasaf

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Navbahor vs Nasaf?+

Our AI model favors Navbahor to win, with a 54% probability (Draw 26%, Nasaf 20%).

What time does Navbahor vs Nasaf kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).