NC Dinos vs Samsung Lions
Value found
+23.8% edgeNC Dinos win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC Dinos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
 Samsung Lions | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
The data suggests that the NC Dinos have an advantageous position, bolstered by a strong home win rate of 60% this season and recent success against the Samsung Lions. Despite the Lions having a better overall record, they have underperformed away from home with a 45% win rate. With their head-to-head results favoring NC Dinos and recent performance highlighting their capability, this matchup is expected to be competitive, likely resulting in a close game.
- NC Dinos have a home win rate of 60% this season.
- In the last 10 games, NC Dinos averaged 4 runs scored and allowed 5.1 runs per game.
- Samsung Lions have struggled on the road with a 45% away win rate this season.
- The last 5 head-to-head matchups show NC Dinos winning 3 out of 5 against Samsung Lions.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors NC Dinos
- Sharper attackSamsung Lions
Samsung Lions are averaging 7.9 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
7.9/game - Tighter defenseNC Dinos
NC Dinos are conceding just 5.4 runs per game over their recent matches.
5.4/game conceded - Historical edgeSamsung Lions
Samsung Lions have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionSamsung Lions
Samsung Lions sit 4 places above NC Dinos in the table.
#2 vs #6
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked NC Dinos at 55% — final result was Samsung Lions win, NC Dinos 6-8 Samsung Lions.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- NC Dinos have averaged 4.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Samsung Lions have averaged 7.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- NC Dinos are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Samsung Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | NC Dinos | Samsung Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 2.79▲ | 1.35▼ |
| -0.5 | 2.28▲ | 1.58▼ |
| +0.5 | 2.13▲ | 1.65▼ |
| +1 | 2.01▲ | 1.68▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.82▲ | 1.92▼ |
| +2 | 1.69▲ | 2.03▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.56▲ | 2.29▼ |
| +3 | 1.46▲ | 2.43▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.52▼ | 2.39▲ |
| 10 | 1.56▼ | 2.23▲ |
| 10.5 | 1.70▼ | 2.05▲ |
| 11 | 1.82▼ | 1.88▲ |
| 11.5 | 2.01▼ | 1.75▲ |
| 12 | 2.15▼ | 1.62▲ |
| 12.5 | 2.30▼ | 1.56▲ |
| 13 | 2.46 | 1.43 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KT Wiz Suwon | 111 | 66 | 45 | +92 | 60 | — |
| 2 | Samsung Lions | 114 | 67 | 47 | +148 | 59 | — |
| 3 |  KIA Tigers | 114 | 62 | 52 | +79 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  LG Twins | 115 | 63 | 52 | +2 | 55 | — |
| 5 |  Doosan Bears | 115 | 59 | 56 | +38 | 51 | — |
| 6 | NC Dinos | 109 | 49 | 60 | -32 | 45 | — |
| 7 |  Lotte Giants | 112 | 50 | 62 | -28 | 45 | — |
| 8 |  Hanwha Eagles | 112 | 49 | 63 | +11 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  SSG Landers | 117 | 48 | 69 | -100 | 41 | — |
| 10 |  Kiwoom Heroes | 119 | 42 | 77 | -210 | 35 | — |
More KBO predictions
Lotte GiantsLG TwinsDoosan BearsKiwoom HeroesHanwha EaglesNC DinosSamsung LionsKT Wiz SuwonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win NC Dinos vs Samsung Lions?+
Our AI model favors NC Dinos to win, with a 55% probability (Samsung Lions 45%).
What time does NC Dinos vs Samsung Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in NC Dinos vs Samsung Lions?+
NC Dinos: 2, 1, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Samsung Lions: 1, 1, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1. Final: 6-8.