Neftchi vs Sogdiana
Match events
- 23'Z. Marušić
- 34'B. Ciger
- 36'A. Abdurashidov
- 57'Z. Marušić
- 65'S. Sultonmurodov
- 65'J. Boltaboev (D. Zajmović)
- 68'S. Sultonmurodov
- 69'B. Toshmirzaev (K. Giyosov)
- 69'A. Jumaev (M. Ubaydullaev)
- 76'K. Kouao (I. Pulatov)
- 87'Z. Marušić (S. Perica)
- 87'B. Ciger (F. Sayfiev)
- 2.1
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-1
Data suggests Neftchi is in a strong position as they currently lead the league and have a solid home record of 7 wins. Sogdiana, while improving lately with recent wins, has struggled away from home, making it challenging against a top contender like Neftchi. The historical head-to-head results also favor Neftchi, who have won three of their last five encounters against Sogdiana.
- Neftchi lies at the top of the league with 42 points, showing strong performance this season.
- Sogdiana's away record is less favorable at 3 wins out of 9 matches.
- Neftchi has averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches, while Sogdiana has only averaged 1.4.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi has won 3 times against Sogdiana.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Neftchi
- Strong home recordNeftchi
Neftchi have won 8 of their last 10 home matches.
8/10 home wins - Weak away recordSogdiana
Sogdiana have won 3 of their last 10 away matches.
3/10 away wins - Higher league positionNeftchi
Neftchi sit 9 places above Sogdiana in the table.
#1 vs #10 - Sharper attackNeftchi
Neftchi are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Neftchi at 73% — final result was Neftchi win, Neftchi 3-0 Sogdiana.
Predicted score was 3-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Neftchi have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sogdiana have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Sogdiana
NeftchiNeftchiSogdianaNeftchiSogdianaSogdianaNeftchiNeftchiSogdianaSogdianaNeftchiSogdianaNeftchiNeftchiSogdianaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Neftchi
Sogdiana
More Super League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Neftchi vs Sogdiana?+
Our AI model favors Neftchi to win, with a 73% probability (Draw 17%, Sogdiana 10%).
What time does Neftchi vs Sogdiana kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).