Nevers vs Montauban
Stade Du Pré Fleuri
Value found
+12.5% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nevers | — | — | 21 |
 Montauban | — | — | 25 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 30-27
Data suggests a closely contested match, with Nevers having a solid home win rate indicating their strength at Stade Du Pré Fleuri. Montauban's recent success away adds an element of competitiveness, but their defense may face challenges against Nevers' scoring ability. The historical head-to-head indicates a slight advantage for Nevers, although their recent form has been inconsistent. The estimated probabilities reflect this balance, favoring a home win.
- Nevers has a strong home win rate of 74% this season
- Montauban has won 70% of its last 10 matches away
- Historically, Nevers has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters with Montauban
- Nevers averages 28.5 points scored but concedes 39 points per match. Montauban concedes only 22.7 points on average.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nevers
- Tighter defenseMontauban
Montauban are conceding just 22.7 points per game over their recent matches.
22.7/game conceded - Poor recent formNevers
Nevers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formMontauban
Montauban have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Strong home recordNevers
Nevers have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nevers at 56% — final result was Montauban win, Nevers 21-25 Montauban.
Predicted score was 30-27.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nevers have averaged 27.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Montauban have averaged 25 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nevers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Montauban.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | Nevers | Montauban |
|---|---|---|
| -6.5 | 2.01 | 1.68 |
| -5.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.80▼ |
| -5 | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| -4.5 | 1.85▲ | 1.84▼ |
| -4 | 1.85 | 1.94 |
| -3.5 | 1.81▼ | 1.89▲ |
| -2.5 | 1.68 | 2.01 |
| -1.5 | 1.61 | 2.09 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | 1.62▲ | 2.08▼ |
| 51.5 | 1.70▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 52 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| 52.5 | 1.83▲ | 1.87▼ |
| 53 | 1.89 | 1.81 |
| 53.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 54.5 | 1.92▲ | 1.79▼ |
| 55.5 | 2.07▲ | 1.64▼ |
Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More Pro D2 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nevers vs Montauban?+
Our AI model favors Nevers to win, with a 56% probability (Montauban 39%).
What time does Nevers vs Montauban kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in Nevers vs Montauban?+
Nevers: . Montauban: . Final: 21-25.