New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings
MetLife Stadium
Value found
+19.6% edgeMinnesota Vikings win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Giants | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
 Minnesota Vikings | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 20-26
The analysis suggests the Minnesota Vikings have a stronger position heading into this matchup, having won four of their last five games, compared to the New York Giants' three losses in their recent five matchups. The historical head-to-head results also favor the Vikings, signaling a potential challenge for the Giants at MetLife Stadium.
- Minnesota Vikings have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- New York Giants have lost 3 of their last 5 matches at home
- Historically, Minnesota Vikings have a favorable head-to-head record against New York Giants
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Minnesota Vikings
- Tighter defenseMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings are conceding just 15.8 points per game over their recent matches.
15.8/game conceded - Good recent formNew York Giants
New York Giants have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Good recent formMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Minnesota Vikings at 70% — final result was Minnesota Vikings win, New York Giants 10-13 Minnesota Vikings.
Predicted score was 20-26.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Giants have averaged 22.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Minnesota Vikings have averaged 14.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Giants are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Minnesota Vikings.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Giants | Minnesota Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| -2 | 1.97 | 1.86 |
| -1.5 | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| -1 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| +0 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| +2 | 1.90 | 1.89 |
| +2.5 | 1.92 | 1.86 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5 | 1.78 | 2.05 |
| 39 | 1.77 | 2.02 |
| 39.5 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| 40 | 1.78 | 1.99 |
| 40.5 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| 41 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| 41.5 | 1.89 | 1.89 |
| 42 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Average price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings?+
Our AI model favors Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 70% probability (New York Giants 30%).
What time does New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings?+
New York Giants: 0-10-0-0. Minnesota Vikings: 3-0-10-0. Final: 10-13.