New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL· Week 1
LLWLPoints 130-282
WWWLPoints 168-211
Home5W 0D 15L(357-455)
Away11W 0D 9L(475-453)

MetLife Stadium

Value found

+113.2% edge

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win

1.43AI fair odds
3.05Bookmaker odds
+113.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Jets
1030316
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0107724

AI match analysis

New York Jets win
20%
Draw
10%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win
70%

Predicted score: 17-24

Data suggests that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the upper hand based on their recent head-to-head success against the New York Jets, winning four of the last five encounters. Conversely, the Jets have struggled offensively, averaging only 17.1 points in their last ten matches, alongside a dismal defense conceding 32 points per game. The numbers favor the Buccaneers as they come into this matchup with a stronger overall performance.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of the last 5 meetings against the New York Jets
  • New York Jets averaged just 17.1 points over their last 10 matches
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed an average of 23.6 points against in their last 10 matches
  • New York Jets lost all of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 32 points per game.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Tighter defenseTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers are conceding just 21.1 points per game over their recent matches.

    21.1/game conceded
  • Historical edgeTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formNew York Jets

    New York Jets have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 70% — final result was Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, New York Jets 16-24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Predicted score was 17-24.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

New York Jets1.38market 72.7% · model 20%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3.05market 32.8% · model 70%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • New York Jets have averaged 13 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers have averaged 16.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New York Jets are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

New York Jets1.38best 1.41AI 20%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3.05best 3.20AI 70%

Point spread

LineNew York JetsTampa Bay Buccaneers
-5.51.851.94
-51.831.92
-4.51.831.91
-11.911.91
-0.51.831.87
+0.51.851.85
+11.851.98
+21.911.91

Total points

LineOverUnder
33.51.662.07
341.751.95
34.51.741.92
351.801.90
35.51.871.90
361.931.86
36.51.931.80
372.051.70

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

New York Jets1.38 0.01
Tampa Bay Buccaneers3.05 0.02
13 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

New York Jets win-48.9pp
AI
20%
Market
68.9%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win+38.9pp
AI
70%
Market
31.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1New York Jets wins
0Draws
4Tampa Bay Buccaneers wins
85-102Points
Standings not available yet.

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+

Our AI model favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win, with a 70% probability (New York Jets 30%).

What time does New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+

New York Jets: 10-3-0-3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-10-7-7. Final: 16-24.