New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
MetLife Stadium
Value found
+113.2% edgeTampa Bay Buccaneers win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | |
| 0 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 24 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 17-24
Data suggests that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the upper hand based on their recent head-to-head success against the New York Jets, winning four of the last five encounters. Conversely, the Jets have struggled offensively, averaging only 17.1 points in their last ten matches, alongside a dismal defense conceding 32 points per game. The numbers favor the Buccaneers as they come into this matchup with a stronger overall performance.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of the last 5 meetings against the New York Jets
- New York Jets averaged just 17.1 points over their last 10 matches
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed an average of 23.6 points against in their last 10 matches
- New York Jets lost all of their last 5 games, conceding an average of 32 points per game.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Tighter defenseTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are conceding just 21.1 points per game over their recent matches.
21.1/game conceded - Historical edgeTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Poor recent formNew York Jets
New York Jets have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formTampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 70% — final result was Tampa Bay Buccaneers win, New York Jets 16-24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Predicted score was 17-24.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Jets have averaged 13 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers have averaged 16.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Jets are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Jets | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5 | 1.85▼ | 1.94▲ |
| -5 | 1.83 | 1.92 |
| -4.5 | 1.83▼ | 1.91▲ |
| -1 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| -0.5 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
| +0.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| +1 | 1.85 | 1.98 |
| +2 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5 | 1.66▲ | 2.07▼ |
| 34 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 34.5 | 1.74 | 1.92 |
| 35 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 35.5 | 1.87 | 1.90▼ |
| 36 | 1.93▲ | 1.86▼ |
| 36.5 | 1.93▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 37 | 2.05 | 1.70 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+
Our AI model favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win, with a 70% probability (New York Jets 30%).
What time does New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?+
New York Jets: 10-3-0-3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 0-10-7-7. Final: 16-24.

