New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union
Kickoff: Aug 29, 2026, 7:30 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 1-2
The analysis suggests a challenging matchup for the New York Red Bulls, who are currently struggling with only one win in their last five matches. In contrast, the Philadelphia Union has shown improved form, remaining unbeaten in their last few games, which may capitalize on the Red Bulls' defensive vulnerabilities. Historically, recent head-to-head results also favor the Union, adding to their edge in this encounter.
- Philadelphia Union unbeaten in last 4 matches
- New York Red Bulls have lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Philadelphia Union has a superior scoring average compared to New York Red Bulls this season
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Union
- Poor recent formNew York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Sharper attackPhiladelphia Union
Philadelphia Union are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Historical edgePhiladelphia Union
Philadelphia Union have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionNew York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls sit 5 places above Philadelphia Union in the table.
#8 vs #13
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
Match trends
- New York Red Bulls have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Union have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionPhiladelphia UnionNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionNew York Red BullsNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionNew York Red BullsPhiladelphia UnionOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 26 | LLWL |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
New York Red Bulls
Philadelphia Union
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New York City FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Union to win, with a 44.35% probability (Draw 23.88%, New York Red Bulls 31.76%).
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).