Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5
WLLWGoals 8-186th in league
LWWDGoals 8-88th in league
Home3W 1D 0L(7-3)
Away0W 1D 2L(1-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 18'F. Mino
  2. 41'C. Quintana
  3. 42'L. Regiardo
  4. 46'M. Luciano (M. Ortega)
  5. 63'T. Rios (Mateo García)
  6. 64'I. Ramírez (F. Scarpeccio)
  7. 67'F. Guch (M. Ortega)
  8. 70'B. Sanchez (T. Gonzalez)
  9. 76'N. Sansotre (M. Bracamonte)
  10. 76'J. Gomez (R. Herrera)
  11. 76'P. Monje (N. Benegas)
  12. 76'A. Diaz (N. Watson)
  13. 85'W. Mazzantti (F. Guch)
  14. 87'W. Mazzantti (Bruno Cabrera)
  15. 88'A. Alonso (J. Goitía)

Lineups

Newells Old BoysDeportivo Riestra
0.8
Goals/game
0.8
1.8
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Newells Old Boys win
36%
Draw
34%
Deportivo Riestra win
30%
40.1%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
27.3%Newells Old Boys clean sheet
44.9%Deportivo Riestra clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis suggests a tight contest between Newells Old Boys and Deportivo Riestra, with both teams showing inconsistent form. Newells has struggled at home, while Riestra remains winless on the road this season. Given their recent defensive lapses, a low-scoring draw appears likely as both teams average similar goals scored per match.

  • Newells Old Boys have only 1 win in their last 8 home matches
  • Deportivo Riestra has yet to win an away match this season
  • Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding multiple goals in several games
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Newells Old Boys

  • Tighter defenseDeportivo Riestra

    Deportivo Riestra are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Poor recent formNewells Old Boys

    Newells Old Boys have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong home recordNewells Old Boys

    Newells Old Boys have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.

    3/4 home wins
  • Weak away recordDeportivo Riestra

    Deportivo Riestra have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Newells Old Boys at 36% — final result was Newells Old Boys win, Newells Old Boys 2-0 Deportivo Riestra.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Newells Old Boys2.58market 38.8% · model 36%
Draw2.75market 36.3% · model 34%
Deportivo Riestra3.17market 31.6% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Newells Old Boys have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Deportivo Riestra have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Newells Old Boys wins
1Draws
0Deportivo Riestra wins
3-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Newells Old Boys2.58best 2.70
Draw2.75best 2.84
Deportivo Riestra3.17best 3.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.13best 3.40
Under 2.51.34best 1.38

Both teams to score

Yes2.35best 2.40
No1.53best 1.57

Double chance

Newells Old Boys/Draw1.33best 1.39
Newells Old Boys/Deportivo Riestra1.41best 1.44
Draw/Deportivo Riestra1.48best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.44best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.65best 2.80
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.64best 1.65
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.15best 2.20

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Newells Old Boys2.58 0.35
Draw2.75 0.03
Deportivo Riestra3.17 0.26
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Newells Old Boys win-0.4pp
AI
36%
Market
36.4%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
34%
Market
34.1%
Deportivo Riestra win+0.4pp
AI
30%
Market
29.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Newells Old Boys
6312+210WLDL
8
Deportivo Riestra
6213+17LWLL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.8Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

L. Lobo Medina

4Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Newells Old Boys

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Deportivo Riestra

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
50%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?+

Our AI model favors Newells Old Boys to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 34%, Deportivo Riestra 30%).

What time does Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).