Nice vs Lorient
Allianz Riviera, Nice · Capacity 35,624 · grass · Referee: R. Lissorgue
Match events
- 37'Z. Diallo
- 60'Z. Diallo (Mohamed-Ali Cho)
- 70'G. Bernardeau (S. Faye)
- 71'M. Kone (A. Tosin)
- 73'Dembo Sylla (Alec Georgen)
- 73'T. Le Bris (Panos Katseris)
- 81'Jonathan Clauss (H. Koutoune)
- 81'Sofiane Diop (Nathan N'Goumou)
- 88'X. Mandza Tsiendi (Mohamed Abdelmonem)
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 0.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that Nice have maintained a solid defense with their recent matches ending in many draws, while Lorient struggles with consistency, having lost three of their last five games. The historical head-to-head statistics also reveal a tendency for tightly fought contests, further supporting a likely draw in this matchup.
- Nice unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 draws
- Lorient lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Historically, the last 5 head-to-head encounters have been closely contested with multiple draws
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nice
- Strong recent formNice
Nice are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 1 win.
1W 4D 0L - Poor recent formLorient
Lorient have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackLorient
Lorient are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseNice
Nice are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nice at 42% — final result was a draw, Nice 0-0 Lorient.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Nice have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Lorient have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
R. Lissorgue
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Lorient
More Ligue 1 predictions
Lille
Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Lorient
Estac TroyesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Nice vs Lorient?+
Our AI model favors Nice to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 29%, Lorient 29%).
Where is Nice vs Lorient played?+
The match is played at Allianz Riviera, Nice (capacity 35,624).
What time does Nice vs Lorient kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).