NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka
Match events
- 11'G. Sikošek
- 17'Roberto Punčec (N. Tepsic)
- 20'I. Mamut (Iuri Tavares)
- 31'I. Mamut
- 46'A. Gojak (J. Puljic)
- 46'Tiago Dantas (I. Cubelic)
- 51'A. Latkovic
- 65'Moreno Živković
- 67'Gabriel Rukavina (A. Orec)
- 67'Moreno Živković (Y. Kabadayi)
- 75'A. Latkovic (M. Vuk)
- 75'I. Mamut (Luka Škaričić)
- 76'D. Adu Adjei (T. Fruk)
- 84'Iuri Tavares (E. Uchegbu)
- 84'M. Marina (T. Duvnjak)
Lineups
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that NK Varazdin is currently in good form, having won their last four matches and demonstrating a solid home performance with an average of 1.7 goals scored per game. HNK Rijeka, while recent winners, have not yet played an away match this season, which may impact their performance. Historically, the head-to-head record is closely contested, favoring neither side significantly in the past five matches. The numbers indicate a possibility of a competitive game with a drawn result being plausible.
- NK Varazdin unbeaten in last 5 matches with 4 victories
- HNK Rijeka has not played away yet this season
- In last 5 head-to-head encounters, each team has won 2 matches
- NK Varazdin has a strong home scoring average of 1.7 goals per game
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors HNK Rijeka
- Historical edgeNK Varazdin
NK Varazdin have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionNK Varazdin
NK Varazdin sit 2 places above HNK Rijeka in the table.
#3 vs #5 - Good recent formNK Varazdin
NK Varazdin have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackNK Varazdin
NK Varazdin are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked HNK Rijeka at 40% — final result was NK Varazdin win, NK Varazdin 2-0 HNK Rijeka.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- NK Varazdin have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- HNK Rijeka have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 | LWWW | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1I. MamutNK Varazdin⚽ 28.3
- 2M. MladenovskiNK Varazdin8.3
- 3G. SikošekNK Varazdin🟨7.6
- 4B. PavicHNK Rijeka7.5
- 5I. CanjugaNK Varazdin7.5
- 6F. MaglicaNK Varazdin7.3
Box score
NK Varazdin
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Bench (13)
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HNK Rijeka
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Bench (12)
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More HNL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka?+
Our AI model favors HNK Rijeka to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, NK Varazdin 30%).
What time does NK Varazdin vs HNK Rijeka kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).





