Nordsjaelland vs Fredericia

Herre Handbold Ligaen· 1
Nordsjaelland
2431Full-time
Fredericia
LWLLGoals 280-30314th · 0-0-1
LLWWGoals 306-3111st · 1-0-0
Home8W 0D 12L(588-606)
Away7W 1D 12L(583-621)

Value found

+7.1% edge

Nordsjaelland win

3.33AI fair odds
3.57Bookmaker odds
+7.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Full-time

Score by half

Team1H2HFinal
Nordsjaelland
15924
Fredericia
151631

AI match analysis

Nordsjaelland win
30%
Draw
10%
Fredericia win
60%

Predicted score: 28-33

Data suggests Fredericia has a strong historical edge over Nordsjaelland, having emerged victorious in 4 of their last 5 matchups. Nordsjaelland's tendency to concede an average of over 30 goals per game indicates potential vulnerabilities, while Fredericia's competitive form bolsters their chances. The predicted score reflects these trends, suggesting a likely higher output from the visitors.

  • Fredericia has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Nordsjaelland.
  • Nordsjaelland has averaged 28.6 goals scored and 30.4 goals conceded in their recent matches.
  • Fredericia's away win rate is notably high at 37%.
  • Nordsjaelland has struggled defensively in their last 10 matches, leading to high goals conceded.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fredericia

  • Historical edgeFredericia

    Fredericia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackFredericia

    Fredericia are averaging 30.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    30.6/game
  • Poor recent formNordsjaelland

    Nordsjaelland have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Poor recent formFredericia

    Fredericia have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Fredericia at 60% — final result was Fredericia win, Nordsjaelland 24-31 Fredericia.

Predicted score was 28-33.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fredericia1.42market 70.3% · model 60%
Nordsjaelland3.57market 28% · model 30%
Draw9.55market 10.5% · model 10%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Nordsjaelland have averaged 28 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Fredericia have averaged 30.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nordsjaelland are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Fredericia.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nordsjaelland3.57best 3.80AI 30%
Draw9.55best 11.00AI 10%
Fredericia1.42best 1.48AI 60%

Goals spread

LineNordsjaellandFredericia
+1.52.081.65
+1.751.961.60
+21.991.69
+2.251.831.70
+2.51.871.84
+2.751.721.82
+31.731.94
+3.251.611.95

Total goals

LineOverUnder
611.562.16
61.51.672.04
621.731.95
62.251.691.77
62.51.901.82
62.751.791.68
631.961.73
63.52.111.62

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nordsjaelland3.57 0.03
Draw9.55 0.04
Fredericia1.42 0.01
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Nordsjaelland win+4.2pp
AI
30%
Market
25.8%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
10%
Market
9.6%
Fredericia win-4.6pp
AI
60%
Market
64.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Nordsjaelland wins
0Draws
4Fredericia wins
138-156Goals

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Fredericia
1100+72
2
Skanderborg AGF
1100+62
3
GOG
1100+62
4
Holstebro
1100+42
5
Aalborg
1100+42
6
Ribe-Esbjerg
1100+22
7
Kolding
1100+12
8
Skive
1001-10
9
Mors
1001-20
10
Bjerringbro/Silkeborg
1001-40
11
Sonderjyske
1001-40
12
Ringsted
1001-60
13
Skjern
1001-60
14
Nordsjaelland
1001-70

More Herre Handbold Ligaen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Nordsjaelland vs Fredericia?+

Our AI model favors Fredericia to win, with a 60% probability (Nordsjaelland 30%).

What time does Nordsjaelland vs Fredericia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by half in Nordsjaelland vs Fredericia?+

Nordsjaelland: 15-9. Fredericia: 15-16. Final: 24-31.