North Harbour vs Auckland
Value found
+81.3% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by half
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 North Harbour | — | — | 27 |
 Auckland | — | — | 19 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-36
Data suggests Auckland has a favorable historical record against North Harbour, winning their last four meetings. While both teams exhibit defensive vulnerabilities, North Harbour's recent performances, with three losses in their last five matches, may make it challenging for them to secure a win. The scoring averages also point towards a potentially high-scoring affair favoring the away side.
- Auckland has won 4 out of the last 4 encounters against North Harbour.
- North Harbour's average of 22.8 scored and 27.9 conceded per game suggests vulnerability in defense.
- Auckland concedes an average of 38.7 points per game, indicating defensive struggles.
- North Harbour has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, showing inconsistency.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Auckland
- Tighter defenseNorth Harbour
North Harbour are conceding just 25.9 points per game over their recent matches.
25.9/game conceded - Historical edgeAuckland
Auckland have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
4/4 H2H wins - Good recent formNorth Harbour
North Harbour have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formAuckland
Auckland have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Auckland at 60% — final result was North Harbour win, North Harbour 27-19 Auckland.
Predicted score was 24-36.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- North Harbour have averaged 24.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Auckland have averaged 26.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- North Harbour are unbeaten in 0 of the last 4 meetings with Auckland.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Points spread
| Line | North Harbour | Auckland |
|---|---|---|
| -7.5 | 2.04 | 1.70 |
| -7 | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| -6.5 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| -6 | 1.96 | 1.86 |
| -5.5 | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| -5 | 1.79 | 1.99 |
| -4.5 | 1.78 | 1.96 |
| -4 | 1.84 | 1.98 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | 1.83 | 1.93 |
| 62.5 | 1.77 | 1.99 |
| 63 | 1.84 | 1.92 |
| 63.5 | 1.83 | 1.92 |
| 64 | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| 64.5 | 1.86 | 1.88 |
| 65 | 1.91 | 1.84 |
| 65.5 | 1.91 | 1.85 |
Average price across 8 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
More Bunnings NPC predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win North Harbour vs Auckland?+
Our AI model favors Auckland to win, with a 60% probability (North Harbour 32%).
What time does North Harbour vs Auckland kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by half in North Harbour vs Auckland?+
North Harbour: . Auckland: . Final: 27-19.