Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov

Cup· Regions Path - 3rd Round
Nosta
11After Penalties
FK Sokol Saratov
WWWDGoals 13-16
WWLDGoals 16-14
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 58'E. Borisov
  2. 75'A. Malakhov
  3. 120+1'A. Ananyan
Lineups unavailable for this match.
NostaFK Sokol Saratov
1.3
Goals/game
1.6
1.6
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Nosta win
20%
Draw
28%
FK Sokol Saratov win
52%
59.1%BTTS
56.6%Over 2.5
20.2%Nosta clean sheet
25.9%FK Sokol Saratov clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis indicates that FK Sokol Saratov enters the match with a stronger scoring average compared to Nosta, slightly favoring the away team. Although Nosta has shown some resilience in recent matches with a couple of wins, their inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities may lead to challenges against Sokol Saratov's attack. Overall, the numbers suggest that a close match could see the away team edging out with a predicted score of 2-1.

  • Nosta averaged 1.3 goals scored over their last 10 matches
  • FK Sokol Saratov averaged 1.6 goals scored over their last 10 matches
  • Nosta's last 5 matches included 2 losses and 2 draws
  • FK Sokol Saratov's away form includes only 1 win in their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FK Sokol Saratov

  • Good recent formNosta

    Nosta have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackFK Sokol Saratov

    FK Sokol Saratov are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Tighter defenseFK Sokol Saratov

    FK Sokol Saratov are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FK Sokol Saratov at 52% — final result was a draw, Nosta 1-1 FK Sokol Saratov.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

FK Sokol Saratov1.73market 57.8% · model 52%
Draw3.22market 31.1% · model 28%
Nosta4.64market 21.6% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Nosta have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FK Sokol Saratov have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nosta4.64best 4.68
Draw3.22best 3.22
FK Sokol Saratov1.73best 1.74

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85best 1.85
Under 2.51.85best 1.85

Both teams to score

Yes1.76best 1.76
No1.92best 1.94

Double chance

Nosta/Draw1.90best 1.90
Nosta/FK Sokol Saratov1.26best 1.26
Draw/FK Sokol Saratov1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nosta4.64 0.99
Draw3.22 0.08
FK Sokol Saratov1.73 0.20
24 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Nosta win+0.5pp
AI
20%
Market
19.5%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
28%
Market
28.1%
FK Sokol Saratov win-0.4pp
AI
52%
Market
52.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Nosta

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
42.9%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
14.3%

FK Sokol Saratov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?+

Our AI model favors FK Sokol Saratov to win, with a 52% probability (Draw 28%, Nosta 20%).

What time does Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).