Novorizontino vs Sport Recife

Serie B· Regular Season - 25
LDWWGoals 14-74th in league
WWLWGoals 11-236th in league
Home6W 2D 3L(17-11)
Away4W 4D 3L(10-8)
Kicks off in

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 8:30 PM (stadium time)

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups not confirmed yet — check back closer to kickoff.
NovorizontinoSport Recife
1.4
Goals/game
1.1
0.7
Conceded/game
2.3

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Novorizontino win
55%
Draw
28%
Sport Recife win
17%
50%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
40.7%Novorizontino clean sheet
15.7%Sport Recife clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Novorizontino holds a favorable edge as they are currently in strong form with four wins from their last five matches, including a solid home record of 6 wins. In contrast, Sport Recife has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game in their last 10 matches, which may hinder their chances away from home. Historically, in head-to-head matchups, recent results show a competitive series, but the current form favors the home side.

  • Novorizontino unbeaten in last 5 home games
  • Sport Recife has conceded an average of 2.3 goals in last 10 matches
  • Recent form favors Novorizontino with 4 wins in last 5 games
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Novorizontino

  • Tighter defenseNovorizontino

    Novorizontino are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Good recent formNovorizontino

    Novorizontino have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Good recent formSport Recife

    Sport Recife have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Strong home recordNovorizontino

    Novorizontino have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.

    6/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Lineups not confirmed

    Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

Match trends

  • Novorizontino have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sport Recife have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Novorizontino wins
0Draws
1Sport Recife wins
3-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Novorizontino1.70best 1.75
Draw3.44best 3.60
Sport Recife5.13best 5.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.07best 2.12
Under 2.51.72best 1.76

Both teams to score

Yes1.96best 2.00
No1.76best 1.80

Double chance

Novorizontino/Draw1.15best 1.18
Novorizontino/Sport Recife1.27best 1.30
Draw/Sport Recife2.07best 2.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Novorizontino1.70 0.02
Draw3.44 0.04
Sport Recife5.13 0.42
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Novorizontino win+0.2pp
AI
55%
Market
54.8%
Draw+1pp
AI
28%
Market
27%
Sport Recife win-1.1pp
AI
17%
Market
18.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Novorizontino
241176+1840WDLW
6
Sport Recife
249114+1038LWWD

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.1
0.7Goals conceded per game2.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Novorizontino

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Sport Recife

0-15'
42.9%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
28.6%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
14.3%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Novorizontino vs Sport Recife?+

Our AI model favors Novorizontino to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 28%, Sport Recife 17%).

What time does Novorizontino vs Sport Recife kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).