NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
NSI Runavik
22Full-time
FC Lugano
LWWDGoals 20-22
WWWDGoals 28-7
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 29'P. Knudsen (S. Skytte)
  2. 61'M. Lindh (P. Knudsen)
  3. 63'Daniel Dos Santos Correia (Mattia Zanotti)
  4. 66'Yanis Cimignani (Mattia Zanotti)
  5. 79'M. Lindh (A. Elísson)
  6. 79'B. Nolsoe (K. Olsen)
  7. 80'Kevin Behrens
  8. 82'E. W. Joensen
  9. 88'M. Przybylski (T. Hestad)
  10. 88'J. Benjaminsen (M. Danielsen)
  11. 88'Elias Pihlström (D. Moncada)
  12. 88'Renato Steffen (Ahmed Kendouci)

Lineups

NSI RunavikFC Lugano
2.0
Goals/game
2.8
2.2
Conceded/game
0.7

AI match analysis

NSI Runavik win
14%
Draw
19%
FC Lugano win
67%
68%BTTS
73.9%Over 2.5
8.2%NSI Runavik clean sheet
25.9%FC Lugano clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that FC Lugano is in markedly better form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, which includes two convincing wins. Conversely, NSI Runavik's defensive struggles are evident, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game over the last ten matches. The numbers favor FC Lugano to secure a victory in this matchup.

  • FC Lugano unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • NSI Runavik has conceded an average of 2.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • FC Lugano's defense has only allowed an average of 0.6 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FC Lugano

  • Tighter defenseFC Lugano

    FC Lugano are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Strong recent formFC Lugano

    FC Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Sharper attackFC Lugano

    FC Lugano are averaging 2.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FC Lugano at 67% — final result was a draw, NSI Runavik 2-2 FC Lugano.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

FC Lugano1.37market 73% · model 67%
Draw4.92market 20.3% · model 19%
NSI Runavik6.59market 15.2% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • NSI Runavik have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Lugano have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

NSI Runavik6.59best 8.00
Draw4.92best 5.50
FC Lugano1.37best 1.42

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.45best 1.52
Under 2.52.53best 2.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.90
No2.06best 2.18

Double chance

NSI Runavik/Draw2.91best 3.25
NSI Runavik/FC Lugano1.14best 1.18
Draw/FC Lugano1.08best 1.14

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.07best 1.07
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.50best 7.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.25best 2.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

NSI Runavik6.59 2.49
Draw4.92 0.28
FC Lugano1.37 0.09
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

NSI Runavik win0pp
AI
14%
Market
14%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
19%
Market
18.7%
FC Lugano win-0.3pp
AI
67%
Market
67.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game2.8
2.2Goals conceded per game0.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

R. Hennessey

8Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

NSI Runavik

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
22.2%
31-45'
22.2%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

FC Lugano

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano?+

Our AI model favors FC Lugano to win, with a 67% probability (Draw 19%, NSI Runavik 14%).

What time does NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).