Nublense vs Union La Calera — Primera División

Primera División· Regular Season - 19

Nublense

2–1Full-time

Union La Calera

LDLWDWGoals 12-154th in league

WLLLLDGoals 11-1716th in league

Home4W 4D 2L(14-12)

Away1W 2D 7L(4-21)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

23'S. Valencia (M. Plaza)
40'Daniel Gutiérrez
44'S. Valencia (M. Rivera)
46'C. Villanueva (B. Oyarzo Munoz)
47'B. Ferreyra
64'B. Ferreyra (F. Pozzo)
64'C. Moya (Y. Leiva)
65'L. Molina Canto (I. Tapia)
65'G. Graciani (E. Calderon)
77'C. Diaz (K. Méndez)
79'J. Andía (J. Cruz)
80'I. Tapia (I. Jeraldino)
85'Daniel Gutiérrez (C. Gutiérrez)
87'D. Sanhueza (F. Campos Mosqueira)
87'M. Rivera (D. Cespedes)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

NublenseUnion La Calera

1.2
Goals/game: 1.1; 1.5
Conceded/game: 1.7

AI match analysis

Nublense win

53%

Draw

27%

Union La Calera win

20%

55.7%BTTS

51.9%Over 2.5

27.3%Nublense clean sheet

23.5%Union La Calera clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Nublense is in better form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, while Union La Calera has struggled significantly, losing their last five. Historically, Nublense has faced Union La Calera competitively, but their current form and home advantage make them favorites. With Nublense averaging 1.1 goals scored at home and Union La Calera conceding 1.9 per game, a scoreline favoring the home team seems likely.

Nublense unbeaten in last 5 matches with 3 wins
Union La Calera has lost 5 of their last 5 matches
Nublense has a stronger recent home record compared to Union La Calera's away form

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

88/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Nublense

Historical edgeUnion La Calera
Union La Calera have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Higher league positionNublense
Nublense sit 12 places above Union La Calera in the table.
#4 vs #16
Poor recent formUnion La Calera
Union La Calera have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L
Strong home recordNublense
Nublense have won 4 of their last 10 home matches.
4/10 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Nublense at 53% — final result was Nublense win, Nublense 2-1 Union La Calera.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (88/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Nublense ✓1.77market 56.6% · model 53%

Draw3.44market 29.1% · model 27%

Union La Calera4.40market 22.7% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Nublense have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Union La Calera have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Nublense wins

4Draws

4Union La Calera wins

7-13Goals

Union La Calera

3–0Oct 26, 2025, 9:30 PM

Nublense

1–1May 5, 2025, 12:00 AM

Union La Calera

Nublense

0–1Sep 29, 2024, 3:30 PM

Union La Calera

2–1May 5, 2024, 4:30 PM

Nublense

1–1Aug 15, 2023, 4:30 PM

Union La Calera

1–1Feb 26, 2023, 9:00 PM

Nublense

Union La Calera

2–2Jul 11, 2022, 12:00 AM

Nublense

Union La Calera

2–1Mar 16, 2022, 12:30 AM

Nublense

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nublense1.77▲best 1.87

Draw3.44▼best 3.65

Union La Calera4.40▼best 4.75

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.02▲best 2.12

Under 2.51.75▼best 1.82

Both teams to score

Yes1.86▲best 1.93

No1.82▼best 1.88

Double chance

Nublense/Draw1.17best 1.23

Nublense/Union La Calera1.26▲best 1.30

Draw/Union La Calera1.95▼best 2.10

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▼best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▲best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nublense1.77▲ 0.03

Draw3.44

Union La Calera4.40▼ 0.07

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Nublense win+0.8pp

53%

Market

52.2%

Draw+0.2pp

27%

Market

26.8%

Union La Calera win-1pp

20%

Market

21%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.