Nykobing FC vs Naestved

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
Nykobing FC
11After Penalties
Naestved
WWWDGoals 25-17
LDWLGoals 16-12

Value found

+6.3% edge

Nykobing FC win

1.82AI fair odds
1.94Bookmaker odds
+6.3%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 55'B. Kold
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Nykobing FCNaestved
2.5
Goals/game
1.6
1.7
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Nykobing FC win
54.8%
Draw
22.8%
Naestved win
22.4%
68.1%BTTS
67.9%Over 2.5
19.2%Nykobing FC clean sheet
15.7%Naestved clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that Nykobing FC enters this match in strong form, having secured four victories in their last five outings, including solid scoring averages. While Naestved has shown some resilience with a recent away win, they have struggled overall with four losses in their last five, indicating potential vulnerability. Historically, their previous encounter ended in a high-scoring draw of 4-4, but current trends favor Nykobing FC to edge this contest.

  • Nykobing FC has won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Nykobing FC averages 2.3 goals scored per game in their last 10
  • Naestved's recent form shows 4 losses in their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Nykobing FC

  • Good recent formNykobing FC

    Nykobing FC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formNaestved

    Naestved have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseNaestved

    Naestved are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded
  • Sharper attackNykobing FC

    Nykobing FC are averaging 2.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.5/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Nykobing FC at 54.8% — final result was a draw, Nykobing FC 1-1 Naestved.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Nykobing FC1.94market 51.6% · model 54.8%
Naestved3.27market 30.6% · model 22.4%
Draw3.52market 28.4% · model 22.8%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Nykobing FC have averaged 2.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Naestved have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Nykobing FC wins
1Draws
0Naestved wins
4-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Nykobing FC1.94best 2.02
Draw3.52best 3.80
Naestved3.27best 3.52

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.60best 1.84
Under 2.52.16best 2.29

Both teams to score

Yes1.50best 1.57
No2.34best 2.45

Double chance

Nykobing FC/Draw1.25best 1.30
Nykobing FC/Naestved1.23best 1.29
Draw/Naestved1.77best 2.05

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Nykobing FC1.94 0.16
Draw3.52 0.17
Naestved3.27 0.53
17 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

Nykobing FC win+8.1pp
AI
54.8%
Market
46.7%
Draw-2.9pp
AI
22.8%
Market
25.7%
Naestved win-5.2pp
AI
22.4%
Market
27.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.5Goals scored per game1.6
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Nykobing FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Nykobing FC vs Naestved?+

Our AI model favors Nykobing FC to win, with a 54.8% probability (Draw 22.8%, Naestved 22.4%).

What time does Nykobing FC vs Naestved kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).