Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay
Match events
- 15'I. Paul
- 45'Bertin Jacquesson (D. Garcia)
- 49'Q. Elliot
- 53'O. Glasgow
- 60'Bertin Jacquesson (Peter Wilson)
- 63'Jacob Montes (W. Leggett)
- 64'Fidel Barajas (D. Otoya)
- 68'J. Bravo (M. Fisher)
- 68'Bruno Lapa (Tucker Lepley)
- 76'O. Glasgow (S. Ritchie)
- 77'I. Paul
- 83'Tucker Lepley
- 85'Q. Elliot (J. Garcia)
- 87'B. Byaruhanga (T. Gibson)
- 87'W. Prentice (J. Kiil)
- 90+3'D. Otoya
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 2.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that while Oakland Roots have been struggling recently, they still have a better historical record against Monterey Bay. The away team has failed to secure a win this season, particularly in away matches, which contributes to a lower chance of victory despite the close odds. Given these factors, a close match can be anticipated, with Oakland Roots likely inching out a narrow victory.
- Oakland Roots have not won in their last 5 matches, registering only 1 win in their last 10 games.
- Monterey Bay is struggling with a 0-2-8 record away this season, and is on a 5-match losing streak.
- Historically, Oakland Roots have won 3 of the last 5 matches against Monterey Bay.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Oakland Roots
- Weak home recordOakland Roots
Oakland Roots have won 3 of their last 11 home matches.
3/11 home wins - Weak away recordMonterey Bay
Monterey Bay have won 0 of their last 12 away matches.
0/12 away wins - Sharper attackOakland Roots
Oakland Roots are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Historical edgeMonterey Bay
Monterey Bay have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Oakland Roots at 49.73% — final result was a draw, Oakland Roots 1-1 Monterey Bay.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Oakland Roots have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Monterey Bay have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Oakland Roots
Monterey BayMonterey BayOakland RootsMonterey BayOakland RootsOakland RootsMonterey BayOakland RootsMonterey BayMonterey BayOakland RootsMonterey BayOakland RootsOakland RootsMonterey BayOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -3 | 26 | DLDL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -17 | 16 | DLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Ndiaye
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Oakland Roots
Monterey Bay
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Birmingham LegionFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?+
Our AI model favors Oakland Roots to win, with a 49.73% probability (Draw 22.09%, Monterey Bay 28.18%).
What time does Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).