Olimpia vs Cerro Porteno — Division Profesional - Clausura

Division Profesional - Clausura· Clausura - 6

Olimpia

2–1Full-time

Cerro Porteno

LDDWLWGoals 19-205th in league

WWDWLWGoals 9-49th in league

Home3W 0D 1L(9-3)

Away0W 0D 3L(2-5)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

13'F. Cardozo
44'A. D. Canete Torres (F. Dominguez)
45+2'F. Dominguez
46'F. Dominguez (A. Gamarra)
46'J. Alfaro (Richard Sánchez)
46'F. Alfonso (R. Benitez)
57'Juan Iturbe (D. Rodriguez)
58'E. Delmas (T. I. Caballero Fleytas)
62'T. I. Caballero Fleytas (H. Sandoval)
63'H. Sandoval (R. Benitez)
69'E. Delmas (J. Dominguez)
69'Robert Piris (Jonathan Torres)
82'F. Cardozo (R. Cáceres)
82'A. D. Canete Torres
83'L. A. Quintana Rodriguez (I. Ramírez)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

OlimpiaCerro Porteno

1.9
Goals/game: 0.9; 2.0
Conceded/game: 0.4

AI match analysis

Olimpia win

48.92%

Draw

28.59%

Cerro Porteno win

22.49%

52.3%BTTS

48.2%Over 2.5

23.5%Olimpia clean sheet

31.7%Cerro Porteno clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Olimpia benefits from a strong home advantage, having won 2 of their 3 home games this season, while Cerro Porteno has struggled on the road with two consecutive defeats. Recent meetings indicate a favorable trend for Olimpia, with them securing victories in the majority of recent clashes. These factors combined lead to a predicted close match with Olimpia likely edging it.

Olimpia has a strong home record with 2 wins out of 3 matches this season.
Cerro Porteno has lost both of their away matches this season.
Recent head-to-head encounters favor Olimpia, winning 3 out of the last 5 matchups.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

84/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Olimpia

Strong home recordOlimpia
Olimpia have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
3/4 home wins
Weak away recordCerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins
Tighter defenseCerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.4/game conceded
Sharper attackOlimpia
Olimpia are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Olimpia at 48.92% — final result was Olimpia win, Olimpia 2-1 Cerro Porteno.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (84/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Olimpia ✓1.94market 51.5% · model 48.92%

Draw3.25market 30.8% · model 28.59%

Cerro Porteno3.77market 26.5% · model 22.49%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Olimpia have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Cerro Porteno have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Olimpia wins

4Draws

1Cerro Porteno wins

13-9Goals

Cerro Porteno

1–1Oct 19, 2025, 8:30 PM

Olimpia

2–3Aug 3, 2025, 7:00 PM

Cerro Porteno

1–2May 3, 2025, 8:30 PM

Olimpia

2–1Feb 23, 2025, 9:00 PM

Cerro Porteno

Olimpia

3–0Oct 27, 2024, 8:30 PM

Cerro Porteno

1–1Aug 18, 2024, 8:30 PM

Olimpia

Cerro Porteno

1–1May 12, 2024, 8:30 PM

Olimpia

1–1Feb 17, 2024, 9:15 PM

Cerro Porteno

Odds comparison

Match winner

Olimpia1.94▼best 2.14

Draw3.25▲best 3.42

Cerro Porteno3.77▲best 4.14

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.09best 2.15

Under 2.51.68best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.87▲best 1.91

No1.83▼best 1.89

Double chance

Olimpia/Draw1.23▼best 1.30

Olimpia/Cerro Porteno1.29▼best 1.33

Draw/Cerro Porteno1.77▲best 1.87

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00▲best 4.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22▼best 1.22

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.38▼best 2.38

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.53▲best 1.53

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Olimpia1.94▼ 0.14

Draw3.25▲ 0.12

Cerro Porteno3.77▲ 0.50

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Olimpia win+1.6pp

48.92%

Market

47.3%

Draw+0.3pp

28.59%

Market

28.3%

Cerro Porteno win-1.9pp

22.49%

Market

24.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.