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Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano

Division Profesional - Clausura· Clausura - 5
Olimpia
2–1Full-time
Sportivo Ameliano
DLWWGoals 19-205th in league
DWLWGoals 11-136th in league
Home3W 0D 1L(9-3)
Away0W 1D 1L(2-3)
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción · Capacity 42,354 · grass · Referee: C. Benitez

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'R. Cabral
  2. 31'W. Rodríguez
  3. 46'J. Dominguez (R. Sánchez)
  4. 59'J. Alfaro
  5. 60'F. Alfonso (E. Delmas)
  6. 60'R. Lezcano (R. Benitez)
  7. 60'Braian Romero (S. Ferreira)
  8. 63'R. Cabral (E. Moreira)
  9. 63'L. Ayala (C. Favero)
  10. 67'C. Ocampos
  11. 70'E. Moreira (C. Favero)
  12. 70'E. Moreira
  13. 71'S. Ferreira
  14. 72'V. Larralde (G. M. Camargo)
  15. 72'C. Ocampos (R. Torales)
  16. 76'T. I. Caballero Fleytas (H. Sandoval)
  17. 77'H. Sandoval (R. Sánchez)
  18. 85'E. Delmas (Gastón Olveira)
  19. 87'R. Peralta (E. Paez)
  20. 89'Julio González
Lineups unavailable for this match.
OlimpiaSportivo Ameliano
1.9
Goals/game
1.1
2.0
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Olimpia win
51%
Draw
28%
Sportivo Ameliano win
21%
62.9%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
21.2%Olimpia clean sheet
20.2%Sportivo Ameliano clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a slightly favorable position for Olimpia, given their historical head-to-head advantage despite their recent struggles. Sportivo Ameliano's unbeaten streak (3 draws, 1 win) indicates resilience, but their low scoring average in the last 10 matches could hinder their chances. The predicted outcome leans towards a home win, reflecting both teams' current forms.

  • Olimpia has only won 1 of their last 5 matches.
  • Sportivo Ameliano is undefeated in their last 4 matches, with 3 draws and 1 win.
  • Historically, Olimpia has a favorable head-to-head record with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches against Sportivo Ameliano.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Olimpia

  • Strong home recordOlimpia

    Olimpia have won 3 of their last 4 home matches.

    3/4 home wins
  • Weak away recordSportivo Ameliano

    Sportivo Ameliano have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Sharper attackOlimpia

    Olimpia are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Higher league positionOlimpia

    Olimpia sit 1 place above Sportivo Ameliano in the table.

    #5 vs #6

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Olimpia at 51% — final result was Olimpia win, Olimpia 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Olimpia ✓1.96market 51% · model 51%
Draw3.19market 31.3% · model 28%
Sportivo Ameliano3.77market 26.6% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Olimpia have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sportivo Ameliano have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Olimpia wins
3Draws
3Sportivo Ameliano wins
6-8Goals
Olimpia
2–1Oct 4, 2025, 10:00 PM
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
1–1Jul 27, 2025, 6:30 PM
Olimpia
Olimpia
0–0Apr 13, 2025, 9:00 PM
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
2–2Jan 30, 2025, 11:30 PM
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1–0Nov 3, 2024, 11:30 PM
Olimpia
Olimpia
1–0Aug 25, 2024, 8:00 PM
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0–1Apr 29, 2024, 11:30 PM
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Ameliano
2–0Mar 8, 2024, 12:30 AM
Olimpia

Odds comparison

Match winner

Olimpia1.96▲best 2.03
Draw3.19▼best 3.35
Sportivo Ameliano3.77▼best 4.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.13▲best 2.25
Under 2.51.66▼best 1.70

Both teams to score

Yes1.90▼best 1.92
No1.80▲best 1.85

Double chance

Olimpia/Draw1.23▲best 1.29
Olimpia/Sportivo Ameliano1.29▲best 1.33
Draw/Sportivo Ameliano1.79▼best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57▼best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25▲best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22▲best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00▼best 4.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Olimpia1.96▲ 0.33
Draw3.19▼ 0.42
Sportivo Ameliano3.77▼ 1.22
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Olimpia win+4.2pp
AI
51%
Market
46.8%
Draw-0.8pp
AI
28%
Market
28.8%
Sportivo Ameliano win-3.4pp
AI
21%
Market
24.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Olimpia
6303+39WLWL
6
Sportivo Ameliano
6231+29LWDD

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.1
2Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Benitez

3.9Yellow cards / game
0.29Red cards / game
0.05Penalties scored / game

Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Olimpia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
30%

Sportivo Ameliano

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?+

Our AI model favors Olimpia to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 21%).

Where is Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano played?+

The match is played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción (capacity 42,354).

What time does Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).