Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor — 1. SNL

1. SNL· Regular Season - 5

Olimpija Ljubljana

1–1Full-time

Maribor

DWWLLWGoals 14-107th in league

LLLWWWGoals 13-151st in league

Home2W 1D 1L(3-3)

Away0W 3D 0L(2-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

31'Jošt Urbančič
45+6'Jošt Urbančič (D. Mitrovski)
51'C. Bumbic
51'Diga
55'J. Gorenc
59'A. Doffo
70'Claude Goncalves (Z. Jevsenak)
70'Z. Repas (L. Zahovic)
77'Diga (A. Marin)
78'L. Zahovic
85'L. Zahovic (N. Viher)
86'N. Viher (Dario Vizinger)
86'Jan Mlakar (N. Osterc)
88'Jošt Urbančič (M. Ristic)
89'D. Mitrovski (Bruno Lourenço)
89'Dino Kojić (Marko Brest)
90+5'Kristjan Bendra

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Olimpija LjubljanaMaribor

1.4
Goals/game: 1.3; 1.0
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana win

27%

Draw

29%

Maribor win

44%

52.3%BTTS

48.2%Over 2.5

31.7%Olimpija Ljubljana clean sheet

23.5%Maribor clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Maribor has a strong advantage going into this match, particularly given their unbeaten record in the last five encounters against Olimpija Ljubljana. Additionally, while Olimpija has struggled, losing two consecutive matches, Maribor remains in good form, sitting at the top of the league standings. The predicted score leans towards a narrow victory for Maribor.

Maribor unbeaten in their last 5 matches against Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana has lost their last two matches
Maribor currently sits top of the league with 8 points from 4 games
Olimpija Ljubljana's recent home record shows 1 win out of 2 matches

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Maribor

Strong home recordOlimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana have won 2 of their last 4 home matches.
2/4 home wins
Weak away recordMaribor
Maribor have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins
Higher league positionMaribor
Maribor sit 6 places above Olimpija Ljubljana in the table.
#1 vs #7
Good recent formOlimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Maribor at 44% — final result was a draw, Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Maribor.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Maribor2.05market 48.8% · model 44%

Draw ✓3.19market 31.3% · model 29%

Olimpija Ljubljana3.38market 29.6% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Olimpija Ljubljana have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Maribor have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Olimpija Ljubljana wins

4Draws

2Maribor wins

7-5Goals

Maribor

0–3May 9, 2026, 6:15 PM

Olimpija Ljubljana

0–0Mar 8, 2026, 2:00 PM

Maribor

1–1Nov 23, 2025, 2:00 PM

Olimpija Ljubljana

1–0Aug 31, 2025, 6:15 PM

Maribor

Olimpija Ljubljana

1–2May 3, 2025, 6:15 PM

Maribor

1–0Mar 9, 2025, 2:00 PM

Olimpija Ljubljana

0–0Nov 10, 2024, 2:00 PM

Maribor

1–1Aug 25, 2024, 3:30 PM

Olimpija Ljubljana

Odds comparison

Match winner

Olimpija Ljubljana3.38▲best 3.89

Draw3.19▼best 3.40

Maribor2.05▼best 2.13

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.96▲best 2.13

Under 2.51.77▼best 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes1.74▲best 1.81

No1.95▼best 2.05

Double chance

Olimpija Ljubljana/Draw1.67▲best 1.75

Olimpija Ljubljana/Maribor1.27best 1.35

Draw/Maribor1.27▼best 1.36

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Olimpija Ljubljana3.38▲ 0.13

Draw3.19▼ 0.11

Maribor2.05▲ 0.04

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Olimpija Ljubljana win0pp

27%

Market

27%

Draw+0.5pp

29%

Market

28.5%

Maribor win-0.5pp

44%

Market

44.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.