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Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta

1. SNL· Regular Season - 6
Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0Full-time
Nafta
WLLDGoals 14-117th in league
DWDLGoals 8-206th in league
Home2W 1D 1L(3-3)
Away1W 1D 1L(4-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 43'A. Doffo
  2. 45'A. Pihler
  3. 63'F. Rose (Y. Kallon)
  4. 63'D. Mitrovski (A. Marin)
  5. 64'D. Kobouri
  6. 64'L. Pihler (M. Vidnyanszky)
  7. 64'A. Maroša (S. Omrani)
  8. 77'L. Kambic (A. Ferreira)
  9. 79'A. Marin
  10. 80'K. Lavrencic (U. Jamiu)
  11. 85'M. Cuni (I. Tuci)
  12. 89'M. Vidnyanszky
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Olimpija LjubljanaNafta
1.4
Goals/game
0.8
1.1
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana win
56%
Draw
25%
Nafta win
19%
50.1%BTTS
49.4%Over 2.5
38.7%Olimpija Ljubljana clean sheet
18.3%Nafta clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Olimpija Ljubljana has struggled recently, with only one victory in their last five outings, while Nafta's form is somewhat stronger with two wins. Historically, prior encounters favor Olimpija, who have consistently performed well against Nafta in their recent matchups. The numbers imply a slight edge for the home side to secure a narrow victory.

  • Olimpija Ljubljana has only secured 1 win in their last 5 matches.
  • Nafta has a stronger recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Olimpija Ljubljana, winning 3 out of the last 4 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
93/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Olimpija Ljubljana

  • Historical edgeOlimpija Ljubljana

    Olimpija Ljubljana have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackOlimpija Ljubljana

    Olimpija Ljubljana are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Tighter defenseOlimpija Ljubljana

    Olimpija Ljubljana are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded
  • Higher league positionNafta

    Nafta sit 1 place above Olimpija Ljubljana in the table.

    #6 vs #7

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Olimpija Ljubljana at 56% — final result was Olimpija Ljubljana win, Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Nafta.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Olimpija Ljubljana ✓1.61market 62.2% · model 56%
Draw3.68market 27.2% · model 25%
Nafta4.86market 20.6% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Olimpija Ljubljana have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Nafta have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Olimpija Ljubljana wins
1Draws
0Nafta wins
7-1Goals
Nafta
1–1Apr 12, 2025, 3:30 PM
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
3–0Feb 16, 2025, 4:30 PM
Nafta
Nafta
0–1Oct 19, 2024, 3:30 PM
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
2–0Aug 5, 2024, 6:15 PM
Nafta

Odds comparison

Match winner

Olimpija Ljubljana1.61best 1.68
Draw3.68▼best 4.00
Nafta4.86▲best 5.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.86▲best 2.01
Under 2.51.88▼best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.84▲best 1.92
No1.85▼best 2.05

Double chance

Olimpija Ljubljana/Draw1.14▲best 1.18
Olimpija Ljubljana/Nafta1.21▲best 1.28
Draw/Nafta2.15▲best 2.38

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20▼best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62▲best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.17▲best 1.17

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Olimpija Ljubljana1.61▲ 0.07
Draw3.68▼ 0.23
Nafta4.86▼ 0.14
18 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Olimpija Ljubljana win-0.6pp
AI
56%
Market
56.6%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
25%
Market
24.7%
Nafta win+0.3pp
AI
19%
Market
18.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
7
Olimpija Ljubljana
6213-27DLWL
6
Nafta
6213+17LDWW

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game0.8
1.1Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Antic

5Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Olimpija Ljubljana

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Nafta

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta?+

Our AI model favors Olimpija Ljubljana to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 25%, Nafta 19%).

What time does Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).