Olmaliq vs Dinamo Samarqand

Super League· Regular Season - 18
WWLDGoals 12-126th in league
DDDDGoals 17-88th in league
Home3W 3D 3L(11-11)
Away4W 0D 5L(13-16)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 48'F. Abdurakhmonov
  2. 54'A. Ulmasaliev
  3. 55'A. Ulmasaliev (A. Karimov)
  4. 55'A. Mukimzhonov (S. Ahrorov)
  5. 56'A. Dumbuya (O. Ormonjonov)
  6. 56'R. Djeparov (R. Yuldashev)
  7. 57'B. Oblakulov (J. Abdusalomov)
  8. 60'A. Sobirzhonov (I. Pesic)
  9. 60'K. Tursunkulov (U. Koyich)
  10. 65'A. Amonov (A. Khaydarov)
  11. 66'O. Ormonjonov
  12. 90+2'A. Karimov
Lineups unavailable for this match.
OlmaliqDinamo Samarqand
1.2
Goals/game
1.7
1.2
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

Olmaliq win
49%
Draw
26%
Dinamo Samarqand win
25%
48.4%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
23.5%Olmaliq clean sheet
36.8%Dinamo Samarqand clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Olmaliq's recent form is stronger compared to Dinamo Samarqand, particularly at home where they have been effective. Additionally, the head-to-head history leans slightly in favor of Olmaliq, who have had notable successes against Dinamo Samarqand. The scoring averages indicate Olmaliq is likely to find the net at least twice, while Dinamo Samarqand may struggle to keep them at bay.

  • Olmaliq has won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing solid form.
  • Dinamo Samarqand has struggled on the road with 5 losses in 8 away games this season.
  • Historically, Olmaliq holds a 3-2 advantage in their last 5 encounters against Dinamo Samarqand.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
85/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Olmaliq

  • Sharper attackDinamo Samarqand

    Dinamo Samarqand are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseDinamo Samarqand

    Dinamo Samarqand are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Higher league positionOlmaliq

    Olmaliq sit 2 places above Dinamo Samarqand in the table.

    #6 vs #8
  • Strong recent formDinamo Samarqand

    Dinamo Samarqand are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 1 win.

    1W 4D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Olmaliq at 49% — final result was Dinamo Samarqand win, Olmaliq 0-1 Dinamo Samarqand.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Olmaliq1.89market 52.8% · model 49%
Dinamo Samarqand3.48market 28.7% · model 25%
Draw3.49market 28.7% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Olmaliq have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dinamo Samarqand have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Olmaliq wins
1Draws
3Dinamo Samarqand wins
14-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Olmaliq1.89best 1.97
Draw3.49best 3.80
Dinamo Samarqand3.48best 3.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.68best 1.81
Under 2.52.06best 2.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.59best 1.60
No2.17best 2.20

Double chance

Olmaliq/Draw1.23best 1.28
Olmaliq/Dinamo Samarqand1.23best 1.30
Draw/Dinamo Samarqand1.81best 2.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Olmaliq1.89 0.15
Draw3.49 0.32
Dinamo Samarqand3.48 0.11
18 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Olmaliq win+1.1pp
AI
49%
Market
47.9%
Draw0pp
AI
26%
Market
26%
Dinamo Samarqand win-1pp
AI
25%
Market
26%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
Olmaliq
19856+229LLWL
8
Dinamo Samarqand
19757-126WDLD

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.7
1.2Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Olmaliq

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Dinamo Samarqand

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
66.7%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Super League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Olmaliq vs Dinamo Samarqand?+

Our AI model favors Olmaliq to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 26%, Dinamo Samarqand 25%).

What time does Olmaliq vs Dinamo Samarqand kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).