Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar
Estadio Palogrande, Manizales · Capacity 42,678 · grass
Kickoff: Aug 19, 2026, 7:30 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests Once Caldas is in better current form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, while Alianza Valledupar has struggled on the road. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, but recent performance trends favor Once Caldas to edge this match, with a predicted score favoring a narrow victory.
- Once Caldas unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Alianza Valledupar has lost both recent away games
- Last 5 head-to-head matches show a closely contested rivalry
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Once Caldas
- Sharper attackAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Historical edgeAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Tighter defenseAlianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Lineups not confirmed
Starting lineups aren't confirmed yet and could materially affect this prediction once they land.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Match trends
- Once Caldas have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Alianza Valledupar have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Alianza Valledupar
Once CaldasOnce CaldasAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparOnce CaldasOnce CaldasAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparOnce CaldasOnce CaldasAlianza ValleduparOnce CaldasAlianza ValleduparAlianza ValleduparOnce CaldasOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alianza Valledupar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | WLWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
More Copa Colombia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?+
Our AI model favors Once Caldas to win, with a 59.6% probability (Draw 25.06%, Alianza Valledupar 15.34%).
Where is Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar played?+
The match is played at Estadio Palogrande, Manizales (capacity 42,678).
What time does Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).