Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala · Capacity 16,456 · grass · Referee: A. Cajas
Match events
- 18'M. Bermudez (Wilson Chuchuca)
- 46'B. García (Jeremy Chacon)
- 46'C. Benalcazar (J. Ordoñez)
- 47'Óscar Quiñónez
- 61'Walter Agustin Herrera
- 64'Lucas Mancinelli (Marcos Andrés López)
- 65'J. Ordoñez
- 73'Wilson Chuchuca (M. Parrales)
- 74'V. Burgoa (Nixon Molina)
- 83'David González (M. Klimowicz)
- 84'Walter Agustin Herrera (Ángel Mena)
- 88'Ángel Mena (Luis Garces)
- 88'Walter Agustin Herrera (Gonzalo Martin Rostagno)
- 90+3'Melvin Diaz (Germán Rivero)
Lineups
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested match between Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca, with both teams struggling for form recently. Orense SC has managed to secure a couple of wins at home, while Deportivo Cuenca's away record indicates vulnerability. The historical head-to-head results further support the likelihood of a draw, reflecting their balanced competition.
- Orense SC recently drew 1-1 against Delfin SC away.
- Deportivo Cuenca has lost their last 3 matches, indicating poor form.
- The teams have drawn 2 of their last 5 head-to-head encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Orense SC
- Historical edgeOrense SC
Orense SC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Weak home recordOrense SC
Orense SC have won 5 of their last 13 home matches.
5/13 home wins - Weak away recordDeportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca have won 5 of their last 13 away matches.
5/13 away wins - Sharper attackDeportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Orense SC at 49% — final result was Orense SC win, Orense SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Orense SC have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Deportivo Cuenca have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Deportivo Cuenca
Orense SCOrense SCDeportivo CuencaDeportivo CuencaOrense SCOrense SCDeportivo CuencaDeportivo CuencaOrense SCOrense SCDeportivo CuencaOrense SCDeportivo CuencaDeportivo CuencaOrense SCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Orense SC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 30 | WDLL |
| 11 | Deportivo Cuenca | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -10 | 32 | LLLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Cajas
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
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Who is likely to win Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?+
Our AI model favors Orense SC to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 22%).
Where is Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca played?+
The match is played at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala (capacity 16,456).
What time does Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).