Ostersunds FK vs Ljungskile SK — Superettan

Superettan· Regular Season - 20

Ostersunds FK

0–0Full-time

Ljungskile SK

WWWLDWGoals 12-184th in league

WDLLLWGoals 5-911th in league

Home6W 3D 1L(15-10)

Away2W 5D 3L(13-12)

Jämtkraft Arena, Östersund · Capacity 8,466 · artificial turf · Referee: R. Beigi

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

63'J. Ali (M. Palomino)
65'S. Anyanwu
70'D. Lagerlof (H. Borstam)
70'J. Liljedahl (S. Omar)
74'D. Miljanovic
79'J. Westerberg (E. Y. Worke)
79'E. Ozkan (L. Bozickovic)
86'M. Uzel (S. Adrian)

Ostersunds FKLjungskile SK

1.2
Goals/game: 0.5; 1.8
Conceded/game: 0.9

AI match analysis

Ostersunds FK win

50%

Draw

25%

Ljungskile SK win

25%

44.4%BTTS

37.7%Over 2.5

31.7%Ostersunds FK clean sheet

35%Ljungskile SK clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests that Ostersunds FK has a strong advantage, sitting 4th in the league with a solid home record of 6 wins this season. Historically, they have been unbeaten in their last 5 home games, while Ljungskile SK struggles to score, averaging just 0.5 goals in their last 10 matches. The numbers favor a narrow win for the home side.

Ostersunds FK ranked 4th in the league
Ostersunds FK unbeaten at home in last 5 games
Ljungskile SK averages only 0.5 goals scored in last 10 matches

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Ostersunds FK

Strong home recordOstersunds FK
Ostersunds FK have won 6 of their last 10 home matches.
6/10 home wins
Weak away recordLjungskile SK
Ljungskile SK have won 2 of their last 10 away matches.
2/10 away wins
Higher league positionOstersunds FK
Ostersunds FK sit 7 places above Ljungskile SK in the table.
#4 vs #11
Sharper attackOstersunds FK
Ostersunds FK are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Ostersunds FK at 50% — final result was a draw, Ostersunds FK 0-0 Ljungskile SK.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Ostersunds FK1.91market 52.4% · model 50%

Draw ✓3.54market 28.2% · model 25%

Ljungskile SK3.57market 28% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Ostersunds FK have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Ljungskile SK have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Ostersunds FK1.91best 1.98

Draw3.54▲best 3.80

Ljungskile SK3.57▲best 3.81

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.69▼best 1.73

Under 2.52.09▲best 2.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.59▼best 1.62

No2.20▲best 2.25

Double chance

Ostersunds FK/Draw1.26▼best 1.31

Ostersunds FK/Ljungskile SK1.26best 1.30

Draw/Ljungskile SK1.81best 1.88

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 4.50

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▲best 1.18

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40▲best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75▼best 2.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Ostersunds FK1.91▼ 0.02

Draw3.54▲ 0.08

Ljungskile SK3.57▲ 0.11

21 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

Ostersunds FK win+1.8pp

50%

Market

48.2%

Draw-1pp

25%

Market

26%

Ljungskile SK win-0.8pp

25%

Market

25.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.