Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti
Match events
- 36'C. Tofan
- 46'R. Sierra (I. Radescu)
- 51'J. Lameira (A. Ciobanu)
- 60'F. Borta (D. Oancea)
- 60'Y. Pirvu (T. Luvambo)
- 60'C. Tofan (C. Micovschi)
- 64'G. Christopoulos (M. Zhelev)
- 70'M. Frunza (D. Bordun)
- 72'G. Christopoulos (M. Zhelev)
- 74'Pedro Nuno
- 75'V. Raţă (Gabriel Charpentier)
- 80'A. Ciobanu (T. Lungu)
- 88'T. Lungu
- 90+2'D. Oancea
- 90+3'J. Lameira
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests a competitive match, with Oţelul currently unbeaten at home and having a favorable head-to-head record against Arges Pitesti, winning two out of the last three encounters. Meanwhile, Arges Pitesti has struggled on the road, reflected in their single away victory this season. The odds favor a narrow home victory based on these trends.
- Oţelul unbeaten in last 3 home games
- Arges Pitesti's away record shows only 1 win this season
- Oţelul has historically dominated recent head-to-head matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Oţelul
- Higher league positionArges Pitesti
Arges Pitesti sit 4 places above Oţelul in the table.
#5 vs #9 - Sharper attackOţelul
Oţelul are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseArges Pitesti
Arges Pitesti are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Strong home recordOţelul
Oţelul have won 2 of their last 4 home matches.
2/4 home wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Oţelul at 35% — final result was Oţelul win, Oţelul 1-0 Arges Pitesti.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Oţelul have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Arges Pitesti have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 | DLDD |
| 5 |  Arges Pitesti | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
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Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?+
Our AI model favors Oţelul to win, with a 35% probability (Draw 34%, Arges Pitesti 31%).
What time does Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 24, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).