Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova
Match events
- 24'Alexandru Crețu
- 29'Alexandru Crețu
- 29'Alexandru Crețu
- 46'Carlos Mora (N. Bancu)
- 56'M. Etim (T. Baluta)
- 59'V. Screciu (O. Romanchuk)
- 60'João Lameira
- 64'L. Basceanu (D. Matei)
- 64'M. Etim (S. Baiaram)
- 65'A. Ciobanu (Joao Paulino)
- 72'A. Al Hamlawi (S. Nsimba)
- 77'Matei Frunză (Denis Bordun)
- 77'Miguel Silva (T. Lungu)
- 80'S. Baiaram
- 86'O. Romanchuk
- 86'R. Sava
- 87'T. Lungu (Andrézinho)
- 90+3'D. Matei
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a competitive match where Universitatea Craiova holds the edge based on historical head-to-head performances, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters against Oţelul. While Oţelul has been solid at home, their overall goal-scoring and defensive statistics indicate vulnerability. The numbers favor Universitatea Craiova to secure a victory, considering their stronger scoring ratio in recent matches.
- Universitatea Craiova has won the last 3 out of 5 encounters against Oţelul.
- Oţelul has averaged 1.7 goals scored per game but conceded 1.6 in their last 10 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova's away record this season is poor, with 0 points from 1 match.
- Oţelul's recent form includes 2 draws and 1 win from their last 4 games.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Universitatea Craiova
- Weak home recordOţelul
Oţelul have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins - Weak away recordUniversitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.
0/2 away wins - Tighter defenseUniversitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.4/game conceded - Sharper attackOţelul
Oţelul are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Universitatea Craiova at 53% — final result was a draw, Oţelul 1-1 Universitatea Craiova.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (89/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Oţelul have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | LDDW | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | LWLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Universitatea Craiova
More Liga I predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova?+
Our AI model favors Universitatea Craiova to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 26%, Oţelul 21%).
What time does Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).














