Palermo vs Juve Stabia

Serie B· Regular Season - 1
Palermo
10Full-time
Juve Stabia
LWLWGoals 13-118th in league
WDLLGoals 11-1520th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo · Capacity 36,349 · grass · Referee: G. Collu

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'D. Johnsen (Joel Pohjanpalo)
  2. 45+2'Tommaso Cassandro
  3. 46'Jacopo Segre
  4. 62'T. Augello
  5. 64'F. Ranocchia (Nahuel Estévez)
  6. 65'D. Vavassori (Gabriel Strefezza)
  7. 67'Thomas Battistella (N. Karic)
  8. 67'G. Scuderi (T. Douglas)
  9. 73'Tommaso Cassandro (P. Peda)
  10. 75'D. Buglio (F. Artioli)
  11. 75'K. Piscopo (S. Fernandes)
  12. 85'N. Patane (R. Sandrucci)
  13. 85'Joel Pohjanpalo (E. Gyasi)
  14. 86'D. Johnsen (J. Le Douaron)
  15. 88'E. Gyasi
  16. 90'R. Sandrucci
Lineups unavailable for this match.
PalermoJuve Stabia
1.3
Goals/game
1.1
1.1
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Palermo win
62%
Draw
24%
Juve Stabia win
14%
50.3%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
33.3%Palermo clean sheet
24.7%Juve Stabia clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Palermo holds a slight advantage entering this match, having secured victories in their recent home games. Juve Stabia's poor away form, combined with their defensive struggles—averaging 1.5 goals conceded per game—indicates they will face challenges. The most likely outcome points to a competitive match, but with Palermo favored to edge it.

  • Palermo won 2 of their last 5 matches, including both home games
  • Juve Stabia has lost their last 3 away matches
  • Historically, both teams have had close contests, but Palermo won 3 of their last 5 matchups
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
98/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Palermo

  • Higher league positionPalermo

    Palermo sit 12 places above Juve Stabia in the table.

    #8 vs #20
  • Poor recent formPalermo

    Palermo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackPalermo

    Palermo are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defensePalermo

    Palermo are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Palermo at 62% — final result was Palermo win, Palermo 1-0 Juve Stabia.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (98/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Palermo1.55market 64.6% · model 62%
Draw3.86market 25.9% · model 24%
Juve Stabia6.09market 16.4% · model 14%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Palermo have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Juve Stabia have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Palermo wins
1Draws
2Juve Stabia wins
6-5Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Palermo1.55best 1.67
Draw3.86best 4.10
Juve Stabia6.09best 6.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.92best 2.01
Under 2.51.85best 1.94

Both teams to score

Yes1.93best 2.02
No1.77best 1.85

Double chance

Palermo/Draw1.11best 1.17
Palermo/Juve Stabia1.23best 1.30
Draw/Juve Stabia2.35best 2.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Palermo1.55 0.10
Draw3.86 0.26
Juve Stabia6.08 0.99
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Palermo win+1.6pp
AI
62%
Market
60.4%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
24%
Market
24.2%
Juve Stabia win-1.4pp
AI
14%
Market
15.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
8
Palermo
1100+13W
20
Juve Stabia
1001-10L

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Collu

4Yellow cards / game
0.25Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Palermo

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Juve Stabia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Serie B predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Palermo vs Juve Stabia?+

Our AI model favors Palermo to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 24%, Juve Stabia 14%).

Where is Palermo vs Juve Stabia played?+

The match is played at Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo (capacity 36,349).

What time does Palermo vs Juve Stabia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).