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Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Super League 1· Regular Season - 1
Panetolikos
3–1Full-time
Asteras Tripolis
WWDLGoals 11-123rd in league
WLLLGoals 9-2011th in league
Home1W 0D 0L(3-1)
Away0W 0D 1L(1-3)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'G. Granath (C. Manrique)
  2. 31'K. Ketu (Ricardinho)
  3. 31'Goal Disallowed - offside — K. Ketu
  4. 58'C. Mavrias (G. Satsias)
  5. 64'K. Ketu (A. Papakanellos)
  6. 64'F. Orozco (Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka)
  7. 64'F. Brorsson (I. Bouzoukis)
  8. 65'A. Bassi (K. Aleksic)
  9. 73'E. Gonzalez (F. Macheda)
  10. 74'G. Granath (A. Prodromitis)
  11. 74'Mateo Mejia (N. Eraković)
  12. 78'F. Macheda (Ricardinho)
  13. 80'K. Aleksic (Esteban Diego)
  14. 84'Giannis Kotsiras (N. Kaltsas)
  15. 84'Esteban Diego (Marvelous Nakamba)
  16. 85'G. Satsias (Salifou Soumah)

Lineups

Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
4-1-4-13-4-3
99
99. Y. Kucherenko
15
15. C. Manrique
49
49. Nikola Stajić
2
← 74'
2. G. Granath
35
35. C. Mavrias
28
28. L. Kojić
12
12. M. Djenepo
18
← 85'
18. G. Satsias
22
22. Diego Esteban
10
← 65'
10. A. Bassi
← 74'
9. Mateo Mejia
11
11. Kalvin Ketu
39. Ricardinho
7
7. Julián Bartolo
19
← 64'
19. F. Orozco
21
21. D. Kourmpelis
10
← 73'
10. E. Gonzalez
← 84'
27. Giannis Kotsiras
6
6. Konstantinos Chrysopoulos
28
28. Alex Méndez
16
← 64'
16. F. Brorsson
1
1. N. Papadopoulos
Giannis AnastasiouCoachGeorgios Antonopoulos
Bench (11)
Bench (12)
PanetolikosAsteras Tripolis
1.1
Goals/game
0.9
1.2
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Panetolikos win
31.77%
Draw
31.27%
Asteras Tripolis win
36.96%
51.2%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
35%Panetolikos clean sheet
21.2%Asteras Tripolis clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests Asteras Tripolis has a historical advantage over Panetolikos, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. Panetolikos has shown slightly better recent form with their scoring average, but Asteras Tripolis' overall defensive record could be a critical factor in this matchup. With both teams seeking points in the opening match of the season, the probabilities reflect a closely contested affair.

  • Asteras Tripolis won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Panetolikos.
  • Panetolikos averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded in their last 10 matches.
  • Asteras Tripolis averages 0.9 goals scored and 2 goals conceded in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Asteras Tripolis

  • Good recent formPanetolikos

    Panetolikos have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formAsteras Tripolis

    Asteras Tripolis have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defensePanetolikos

    Panetolikos are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded
  • Historical edgeAsteras Tripolis

    Asteras Tripolis have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 37% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Asteras Tripolis at 36.96% — final result was Panetolikos win, Panetolikos 3-1 Asteras Tripolis.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Asteras Tripolis2.70market 37.1% · model 36.96%
Panetolikos ✓2.74market 36.5% · model 31.77%
Draw2.94market 34% · model 31.27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Panetolikos have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Asteras Tripolis have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Panetolikos wins
4Draws
3Asteras Tripolis wins
7-10Goals
Asteras Tripolis
2–0Jan 13, 2025, 4:00 PM
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
1–1Sep 21, 2024, 5:30 PM
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
0–2Apr 20, 2024, 4:30 PM
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
2–2Feb 19, 2024, 4:00 PM
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
0–1Nov 5, 2023, 2:00 PM
Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis
2–0Jan 16, 2021, 3:15 PM
Panetolikos
Panetolikos
1–1Oct 3, 2020, 4:30 PM
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
1–1Jun 28, 2020, 4:30 PM
Asteras Tripolis

Odds comparison

Match winner

Panetolikos2.74▼best 2.87
Draw2.94▼best 3.05
Asteras Tripolis2.70▲best 2.82

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.40▲best 2.50
Under 2.51.54▼best 1.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.97best 2.02
No1.74best 1.80

Double chance

Panetolikos/Draw1.43best 1.50
Panetolikos/Asteras Tripolis1.36▲best 1.40
Draw/Asteras Tripolis1.41best 1.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75▼best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40▲best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Panetolikos2.74▲ 0.09
Draw2.94▲ 0.01
Asteras Tripolis2.70▲ 0.02
20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Panetolikos win-2.1pp
AI
31.77%
Market
33.9%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
31.27%
Market
31.6%
Asteras Tripolis win+2.5pp
AI
36.96%
Market
34.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Panetolikos
1100+23W
11
Asteras Tripolis
1001-20L

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Panetolikos

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis?+

Our AI model favors Asteras Tripolis to win, with a 36.96% probability (Draw 31.27%, Panetolikos 31.77%).

What time does Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).