PAOK vs Brann

UEFA Europa Conference League· Playoff round
PAOK
11Full-time
Brann
LLWLGoals 21-17
WWWWGoals 20-15
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 38'Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
  2. 57'A. Mythou (C. Ndiaye)
  3. 57'Kristian Eriksen (J. Soltvedt)
  4. 60'Bård Finne
  5. 62'J. Soltvedt
  6. 63'C. Zafeiris
  7. 65'D. Giannoulis (A. Baba)
  8. 65'Taison (G. Taylor)
  9. 65'D. Chatsidis (T. Louchet)
  10. 65'Taison (T. Louchet)
  11. 65'B. Santamaria (G. Taylor)
  12. 77'Mohamed Mady Camara (S. Shoretire)
  13. 80'A. Baba (T. Louchet)
  14. 86'Thore Pedersen (Kjartan Mar Kjartansson)
  15. 90+3'Bård Finne (Lars Remmem)
  16. 90+3'Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Lineups unavailable for this match.
PAOKBrann
2.1
Goals/game
2.0
1.7
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

PAOK win
59.89%
Draw
24.49%
Brann win
15.62%
70.3%BTTS
70.6%Over 2.5
15.7%PAOK clean sheet
16.5%Brann clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that PAOK has a strong home advantage, particularly with a solid record at home despite their recent form showing three losses in five matches. Meanwhile, Brann has demonstrated inconsistent defense, which could be exploited by PAOK's scoring potential, averaging 2 goals in their last matches. Given the head-to-head history and current averages, PAOK appears slightly favored to secure a win.

  • PAOK unbeaten in last 5 home matches against other teams.
  • Brann has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last 10 matches.
  • Head-to-head history shows a recent 1-1 draw, indicating competitive balance.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors PAOK

  • Poor recent formPAOK

    PAOK have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formBrann

    Brann have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackPAOK

    PAOK are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseBrann

    Brann are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked PAOK at 59.89% — final result was a draw, PAOK 1-1 Brann.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

PAOK1.55market 64.7% · model 59.89%
Draw3.90market 25.7% · model 24.49%
Brann5.93market 16.9% · model 15.62%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • PAOK have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Brann have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0PAOK wins
1Draws
1Brann wins
3-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

PAOK1.55best 1.69
Draw3.90best 4.15
Brann5.93best 6.99

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87best 1.97
Under 2.51.89best 1.98

Both teams to score

Yes1.90best 1.95
No1.81best 1.91

Double chance

PAOK/Draw1.12best 1.17
PAOK/Brann1.22best 1.25
Draw/Brann2.36best 2.53

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10best 2.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67best 1.67
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

PAOK1.55 0.03
Draw3.90 0.21
Brann5.93 0.51
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

PAOK win-0.4pp
AI
59.89%
Market
60.3%
Draw+0.6pp
AI
24.49%
Market
23.9%
Brann win-0.1pp
AI
15.62%
Market
15.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.1Goals scored per game2
1.7Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Siebert

5.09Yellow cards / game
0.18Red cards / game
0.82Penalties scored / game

Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

PAOK

0-15'
0%
16-30'
4.5%
31-45'
18.2%
46-60'
9.1%
61-75'
40.9%
76-90+'
27.3%

Brann

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
8.3%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
41.7%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win PAOK vs Brann?+

Our AI model favors PAOK to win, with a 59.89% probability (Draw 24.49%, Brann 15.62%).

What time does PAOK vs Brann kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).