Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav — Czech Liga

Czech Liga· Regular Season - 4

Pardubice

1–1Full-time

Mlada Boleslav

LWLLLWGoals 15-1313th in league

LWLWWWGoals 16-72nd in league

Home0W 1D 1L(1-3)

Away1W 2D 0L(7-5)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

10'V. Patrak
19'E. Godwin
33'V. Patrak (D. Smekal)
42'T. Solil (J. Noslin)
46'T. Jelinek (M. Icha)
61'V. Drchal (Kahuan Vinicius)
62'Jan Tredl (R. Mahuta)
66'D. Langhamer (J. Buryan)
66'S. John (J. Kolarik)
67'D. Donat (D. Mares)
74'Kahuan Vinicius
74'S. Simek
75'M. Subert (D. Kozel)
79'J. Klima (L. Letenay)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

PardubiceMlada Boleslav

1.5
Goals/game: 1.6; 1.3
Conceded/game: 0.7

AI match analysis

Pardubice win

43%

Draw

26%

Mlada Boleslav win

31%

51.1%BTTS

46.9%Over 2.5

23.5%Pardubice clean sheet

33.3%Mlada Boleslav clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Pardubice is struggling at the start of the season, losing all three matches, while Mlada Boleslav has shown better form, winning two of their last three. Historically, Mlada Boleslav has a favorable track record against Pardubice, enhancing their confidence. The expected scoreline reflects Mlada Boleslav's strong performance and Prudubice's ongoing challenges.

Pardubice lost all three matches this season with a goal difference of -4
Mlada Boleslav currently sits in 3rd place with 7 points from 3 matches
Historically, Mlada Boleslav has dominated recent encounters against Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav has a solid away record with 1 win and 1 draw this season.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

76/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pardubice

Higher league positionMlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav sit 11 places above Pardubice in the table.
#2 vs #13
Weak home recordPardubice
Pardubice have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins
Weak away recordMlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins
Tighter defenseMlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Pardubice at 43% — final result was a draw, Pardubice 1-1 Mlada Boleslav.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pardubice2.14market 46.7% · model 43%

Mlada Boleslav3.01market 33.2% · model 31%

Draw ✓3.55market 28.2% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Pardubice have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Mlada Boleslav have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Pardubice wins

1Draws

4Mlada Boleslav wins

8-12Goals

Mlada Boleslav

2–0Mar 14, 2026, 2:00 PM

Pardubice

2–1Oct 18, 2025, 1:00 PM

Mlada Boleslav

Pardubice

2–1May 17, 2025, 3:00 PM

Mlada Boleslav

Pardubice

0–3Feb 22, 2025, 3:00 PM

Mlada Boleslav

2–2Sep 22, 2024, 11:00 AM

Pardubice

1–2Apr 21, 2024, 1:00 PM

Mlada Boleslav

1–0Nov 11, 2023, 2:00 PM

Pardubice

Mlada Boleslav

0–1Feb 12, 2023, 2:00 PM

Pardubice

Odds comparison

Match winner

Pardubice2.14▼best 2.19

Draw3.55▲best 3.77

Mlada Boleslav3.01▲best 3.15

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.65best 1.72

Under 2.52.18▼best 2.27

Both teams to score

Yes1.53▼best 1.57

No2.32▲best 2.42

Double chance

Pardubice/Draw1.35best 1.39

Pardubice/Mlada Boleslav1.26best 1.29

Draw/Mlada Boleslav1.65best 1.67

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▲best 1.20

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33▼best 4.33

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▼best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▲best 3.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Pardubice2.14▲ 0.07

Draw3.55▼ 0.02

Mlada Boleslav3.01▼ 0.04

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Pardubice win-0.2pp

43%

Market

43.2%

Draw-0.1pp

26%

Market

26.1%

Mlada Boleslav win+0.3pp

31%

Market

30.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.